PIMCO Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NRGXDelisted Stock  USD 16.41  0.11  0.67%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PIMCO Energy And on the next trading day is expected to be 16.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.09. PIMCO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for PIMCO Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of PIMCO Energy And value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

PIMCO Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PIMCO Energy And on the next trading day is expected to be 16.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PIMCO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PIMCO Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PIMCO Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PIMCO EnergyPIMCO Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PIMCO Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PIMCO Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0319
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1653
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0112
SAESum of the absolute errors10.086
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of PIMCO Energy And. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict PIMCO Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for PIMCO Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PIMCO Energy And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4116.4116.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4013.4018.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.1316.3416.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PIMCO Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PIMCO Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PIMCO Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PIMCO Energy And.

View PIMCO Energy Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

PIMCO Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PIMCO Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PIMCO Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PIMCO Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PIMCO Energy And entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PIMCO Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of PIMCO Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PIMCO Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pimco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Other Consideration for investing in PIMCO Stock

If you are still planning to invest in PIMCO Energy And check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the PIMCO Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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