NKT A/S Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NRKBF Stock  USD 115.55  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NKT AS on the next trading day is expected to be 115.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.75. NKT Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NKT A/S's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
NKT A/S simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for NKT AS are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as NKT A/S prices get older.

NKT A/S Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NKT AS on the next trading day is expected to be 115.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 2.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NKT Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NKT A/S's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NKT A/S Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest NKT A/SNKT A/S Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

NKT A/S Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NKT A/S's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NKT A/S's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 114.12 and 116.98, respectively. We have considered NKT A/S's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
115.55
114.12
Downside
115.55
Expected Value
116.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NKT A/S pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NKT A/S pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1743
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2425
MADMean absolute deviation0.3292
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0029
SAESum of the absolute errors19.75
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting NKT AS forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent NKT A/S observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for NKT A/S

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NKT A/S. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.11115.55116.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.03103.47127.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
105.08113.79122.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NKT A/S. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NKT A/S's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NKT A/S's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NKT A/S.

Other Forecasting Options for NKT A/S

For every potential investor in NKT, whether a beginner or expert, NKT A/S's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NKT Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NKT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NKT A/S's price trends.

NKT A/S Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NKT A/S pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NKT A/S could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NKT A/S by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NKT A/S Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NKT A/S's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NKT A/S's current price.

NKT A/S Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NKT A/S pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NKT A/S shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NKT A/S pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify NKT AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NKT A/S Risk Indicators

The analysis of NKT A/S's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NKT A/S's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nkt pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NKT Pink Sheet

When determining whether NKT A/S offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NKT A/S's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nkt As Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nkt As Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NKT A/S to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NKT A/S's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NKT A/S is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NKT A/S's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.