North European Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression

NRT Stock  USD 9.26  0.33  3.70%   
North Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of North European's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of North European's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with North European Oil, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting North European's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.112
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
Using North European hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of North European Oil from the perspective of North European response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards North European using North European's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards North using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of North European's stock price.

North European Implied Volatility

    
  1.44  
North European's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of North European Oil stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if North European's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that North European stock will not fluctuate a lot when North European's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of North European Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 9.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.78.

North European after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of North European to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 North Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast North European's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in North European's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for North European stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current North European's open interest, investors have to compare it to North European's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of North European is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in North. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

North European Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine North price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for North using various technical indicators. When you analyze North charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
North European polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for North European Oil as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

North European Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of North European Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 9.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict North Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that North European's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

North European Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest North European  North European Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

North European Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting North European's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. North European's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.69 and 12.74, respectively. We have considered North European's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.26
9.22
Expected Value
12.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of North European stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent North European stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8251
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2422
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0345
SAESum of the absolute errors14.7753
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the North European historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for North European

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as North European Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.619.1412.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.5610.0913.62
Details

North European After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of North European at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in North European or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of North European, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

North European Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting North European's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on North European's historical news coverage. North European's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.61 and 12.67, respectively. We have considered North European's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.26
9.14
After-hype Price
12.67
Upside
North European is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of North European Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.

North European Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as North European is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading North European backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with North European, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.65 
3.52
  0.23 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.26
9.14
2.35 
1,006  
Notes

North European Hype Timeline

On the 6th of February North European Oil is traded for 9.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. North is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 2.35%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.65%. The volatility of related hype on North European is about 24640.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.25. North European Oil has 2.85 M in debt. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of North European to cross-verify your projections.

North European Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to North European's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict North European's future price movements. Getting to know how North European's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how North European may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for North European

For every potential investor in North, whether a beginner or expert, North European's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. North Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in North. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying North European's price trends.

North European Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with North European stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of North European could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing North European by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

North European Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how North European stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading North European shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying North European stock market strength indicators, traders can identify North European Oil entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

North European Risk Indicators

The analysis of North European's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in North European's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting north stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for North European

The number of cover stories for North European depends on current market conditions and North European's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that North European is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about North European's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

North European Short Properties

North European's future price predictability will typically decrease when North European's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of North European Oil often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential North European's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. North European's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.8 M

Additional Tools for North Stock Analysis

When running North European's price analysis, check to measure North European's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy North European is operating at the current time. Most of North European's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of North European's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move North European's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of North European to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.