National Storage Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NSA-PB Stock | 21.16 0.23 1.08% |
National Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast National Storage stock prices and determine the direction of National Storage Affiliates's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of National Storage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of National Storage's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling National Storage, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 |
Using National Storage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Storage Affiliates from the perspective of National Storage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
National Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of National Storage Affiliates on the next trading day is expected to be 21.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.10.National Storage Aff Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to National Storage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in National. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding National can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around National Storage Affiliates. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of National Storage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about National Storage.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of National Storage Affiliates on the next trading day is expected to be 21.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.10. National Storage after-hype prediction price | USD 21.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Storage to cross-verify your projections. National Storage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
National Storage Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of National Storage Affiliates on the next trading day is expected to be 21.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict National Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that National Storage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
National Storage Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest National Storage | National Storage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
National Storage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting National Storage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. National Storage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.04 and 22.28, respectively. We have considered National Storage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of National Storage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent National Storage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3822 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0187 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.135 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0064 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.1 |
Predictive Modules for National Storage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Storage Aff. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.National Storage After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of National Storage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in National Storage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of National Storage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
National Storage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting National Storage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on National Storage's historical news coverage. National Storage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.94 and 22.38, respectively. We have considered National Storage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
National Storage is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Storage Aff is based on 3 months time horizon.
National Storage Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as National Storage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Storage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with National Storage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.16 | 21.16 | 0.00 |
|
National Storage Hype Timeline
National Storage Aff is now traded for 21.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. National is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on National Storage is about 2715.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.16. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Storage to cross-verify your projections.National Storage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to National Storage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict National Storage's future price movements. Getting to know how National Storage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how National Storage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HOCXF | Hoteles City Express | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NHLG | National Healthcare Logistics | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OHTR | Oasis Hotel Resort | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | (0.45) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.15 | (3.12) | 8.29 | |
| BHC | Bausch Health Companies | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.20 | (4.68) | 18.13 | |
| CVS | CVS Health Corp | 0.32 | 11 per month | 1.69 | (0.02) | 2.35 | (1.95) | 6.40 | |
| UNHLF | Union Medical Healthcare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SYHO | Synergie Wellness Products | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for National Storage
For every potential investor in National, whether a beginner or expert, National Storage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. National Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in National. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying National Storage's price trends.National Storage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with National Storage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of National Storage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Storage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
National Storage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how National Storage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading National Storage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying National Storage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify National Storage Affiliates entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 21.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 21.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.63 |
National Storage Risk Indicators
The analysis of National Storage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National Storage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting national stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.647 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Variance | 1.4 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for National Storage
The number of cover stories for National Storage depends on current market conditions and National Storage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that National Storage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about National Storage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Storage to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.