Nanalysis Scientific OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NSCIF Stock  USD 0.24  0.03  11.11%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nanalysis Scientific Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.50. Nanalysis OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nanalysis Scientific's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Nanalysis Scientific is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nanalysis Scientific Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nanalysis Scientific Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nanalysis Scientific Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nanalysis OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nanalysis Scientific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nanalysis Scientific OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nanalysis Scientific Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nanalysis Scientific's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nanalysis Scientific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.35, respectively. We have considered Nanalysis Scientific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.24
0.23
Expected Value
5.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nanalysis Scientific otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nanalysis Scientific otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.0888
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0082
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0297
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4975
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nanalysis Scientific Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nanalysis Scientific. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nanalysis Scientific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanalysis Scientific Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.245.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.225.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nanalysis Scientific

For every potential investor in Nanalysis, whether a beginner or expert, Nanalysis Scientific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nanalysis OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nanalysis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nanalysis Scientific's price trends.

Nanalysis Scientific Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nanalysis Scientific otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nanalysis Scientific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nanalysis Scientific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nanalysis Scientific Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nanalysis Scientific's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nanalysis Scientific's current price.

Nanalysis Scientific Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nanalysis Scientific otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nanalysis Scientific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nanalysis Scientific otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nanalysis Scientific Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nanalysis Scientific Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nanalysis Scientific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nanalysis Scientific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nanalysis otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Nanalysis OTC Stock

Nanalysis Scientific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanalysis OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanalysis with respect to the benefits of owning Nanalysis Scientific security.