National Security Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NSI Etf | 26.46 0.05 0.19% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of National Security Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 26.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.39. National Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of National Security's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
National |
National Security Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of National Security Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 26.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict National Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that National Security's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
National Security Etf Forecast Pattern
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National Security Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting National Security's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. National Security's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.31 and 27.61, respectively. We have considered National Security's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of National Security etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent National Security etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7361 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.008 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2195 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.008 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.3881 |
Predictive Modules for National Security
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Security. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Security's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for National Security
For every potential investor in National, whether a beginner or expert, National Security's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. National Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in National. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying National Security's price trends.National Security Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with National Security etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of National Security could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Security by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
National Security Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of National Security's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of National Security's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
National Security Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how National Security etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading National Security shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying National Security etf market strength indicators, traders can identify National Security Emerging entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
National Security Risk Indicators
The analysis of National Security's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National Security's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting national etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8093 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Variance | 1.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether National Security offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Security's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Security Emerging Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Security Emerging Etf:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Security to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
The market value of National Security is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Security's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Security's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Security's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Security's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Security's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Security is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Security's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.