Nestle SA Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

NSRGF Stock  USD 95.16  1.67  1.72%   
Nestle Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nestle SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nestle SA's share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nestle SA, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nestle SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nestle SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nestle SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nestle SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nestle SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nestle SA from the perspective of Nestle SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Nestle SA on the next trading day is expected to be 94.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.63.

Nestle SA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 95.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nestle SA to cross-verify your projections.

Nestle SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nestle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nestle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nestle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Nestle SA price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Nestle SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Nestle SA on the next trading day is expected to be 94.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 3.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nestle Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nestle SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nestle SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Nestle SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nestle SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nestle SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 92.55 and 95.53, respectively. We have considered Nestle SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
95.16
94.04
Expected Value
95.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nestle SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nestle SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.4745
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5841
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors96.63
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Nestle SA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Nestle SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nestle SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.5195.0096.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.4595.9497.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nestle SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nestle SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nestle SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nestle SA.

Nestle SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nestle SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nestle SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Nestle SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nestle SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nestle SA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nestle SA's historical news coverage. Nestle SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.51 and 96.49, respectively. We have considered Nestle SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
95.16
95.00
After-hype Price
96.49
Upside
Nestle SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nestle SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nestle SA Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nestle SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nestle SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nestle SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
1.49
 0.00  
 0.00  
24 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 24 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
95.16
95.00
0.00 
382.05  
Notes

Nestle SA Hype Timeline

Nestle SA is now traded for 95.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nestle is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nestle SA is about 4789.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 95.16. About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.35. Nestle SA last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2022. The entity had 10:1 split on the 30th of June 2008. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 24 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nestle SA to cross-verify your projections.

Nestle SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nestle SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nestle SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Nestle SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nestle SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GISGeneral Mills(0.25)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.27 (2.51) 6.34 
KKellanova(2.67)28 per month 0.00 (0.26) 0.17 (0.04) 0.37 
CPBCampbells Co 0.27 8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.28 (3.12) 8.15 
KHCKraft Heinz Co 0.43 9 per month 0.00 (0.10) 1.95 (2.54) 9.17 
TSUKFToyo Suisan Kaisha 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TSUKYToyo Suisan Kaisha 0.00 0 per month 2.80 (0.01) 4.01 (4.74) 13.54 
GLAPFGlanbia plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  2.35  0.00  13.48 
SENEASeneca Foods Corp(0.17)8 per month 2.15 (0.01) 2.65 (3.26) 12.80 
LWLamb Weston Holdings 0.25 9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.04 (2.96) 30.35 
ACOPYThe A2 Milk 0.00 0 per month 2.29 (0.02) 4.00 (5.78) 14.34 
AVOZAltavoz Entertainment 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ARRTArtisan Consumer Goods 0.00 0 per month 15.24  0.12  49.25 (33.33) 427.18 
AVSFYAvi Ltd ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EMLZFEmmi AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00  0.00  14.99 
CENTACentral Garden Pet 0.00 0 per month 1.23  0.04  2.98 (1.97) 11.46 
CENTCentral Garden Pet(0.13)9 per month 1.46  0.01  3.16 (2.66) 11.94 
SENEBSeneca Foods Corp 2.83 5 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.80 (3.95) 16.27 
JBSSJohn B Sanfilippo 0.00 0 per month 0.76  0.17  2.36 (1.33) 8.86 

Other Forecasting Options for Nestle SA

For every potential investor in Nestle, whether a beginner or expert, Nestle SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nestle Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nestle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nestle SA's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nestle SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nestle SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nestle SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nestle SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nestle SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nestle SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nestle SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nestle SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nestle pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nestle SA

The number of cover stories for Nestle SA depends on current market conditions and Nestle SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nestle SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nestle SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Nestle Pink Sheet

Nestle SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nestle Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nestle with respect to the benefits of owning Nestle SA security.