Neurobiological Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NTII Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neurobiological Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Neurobiological Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neurobiological Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The Neurobiological Technologies' current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 5.94. The Neurobiological Technologies' current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 135.33. The Neurobiological Technologies' current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 6 M.

Neurobiological Technologies Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Neurobiological Technologies' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.8 M
Current Value
2.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
1.2 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Neurobiological Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Neurobiological Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Neurobiological Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neurobiological Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neurobiological Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neurobiological Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Neurobiological Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

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Neurobiological Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Neurobiological Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neurobiological Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Neurobiological Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neurobiological Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neurobiological Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Neurobiological Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Neurobiological Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Neurobiological Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neurobiological Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Neurobiological Technologies

For every potential investor in Neurobiological, whether a beginner or expert, Neurobiological Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neurobiological Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neurobiological. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neurobiological Technologies' price trends.

Neurobiological Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neurobiological Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neurobiological Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neurobiological Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Neurobiological Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Neurobiological Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Neurobiological Technologies' current price.

Neurobiological Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neurobiological Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neurobiological Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neurobiological Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neurobiological Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Neurobiological Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Neurobiological Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Neurobiological Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Neurobiological Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neurobiological Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Neurobiological Stock please use our How to Invest in Neurobiological Technologies guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Neurobiological Technologies. If investors know Neurobiological will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Neurobiological Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.94
Return On Equity
0.9972
The market value of Neurobiological Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Neurobiological that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Neurobiological Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Neurobiological Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Neurobiological Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Neurobiological Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Neurobiological Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Neurobiological Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Neurobiological Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.