Neto Malinda Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

NTML Stock  ILS 8,022  59.00  0.74%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Neto Malinda on the next trading day is expected to be 8,084 with a mean absolute deviation of 98.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,916. Neto Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Neto Malinda stock prices and determine the direction of Neto Malinda's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neto Malinda's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Neto Malinda - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Neto Malinda prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Neto Malinda price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Neto Malinda.

Neto Malinda Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Neto Malinda on the next trading day is expected to be 8,084 with a mean absolute deviation of 98.60, mean absolute percentage error of 16,204, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,916.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neto Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neto Malinda's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Neto Malinda Stock Forecast Pattern

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Neto Malinda Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Neto Malinda's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neto Malinda's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8,083 and 8,086, respectively. We have considered Neto Malinda's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8,022
8,084
Expected Value
8,086
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neto Malinda stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neto Malinda stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -21.8646
MADMean absolute deviation98.6015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.015
SAESum of the absolute errors5916.0918
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Neto Malinda observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Neto Malinda observations.

Predictive Modules for Neto Malinda

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neto Malinda. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8,0208,0228,024
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,2208,7378,739
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Neto Malinda

For every potential investor in Neto, whether a beginner or expert, Neto Malinda's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neto Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neto. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neto Malinda's price trends.

Neto Malinda Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neto Malinda stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neto Malinda could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neto Malinda by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Neto Malinda Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Neto Malinda's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Neto Malinda's current price.

Neto Malinda Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neto Malinda stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neto Malinda shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neto Malinda stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neto Malinda entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Neto Malinda Risk Indicators

The analysis of Neto Malinda's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neto Malinda's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Neto Stock

Neto Malinda financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neto Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neto with respect to the benefits of owning Neto Malinda security.