Neste Oyj Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NTOIF Stock | USD 25.90 1.60 6.58% |
Neste Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neste Oyj's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Neste Oyj's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 83
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Neste Oyj hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Neste Oyj from the perspective of Neste Oyj response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neste Oyj on the next trading day is expected to be 27.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.11. Neste Oyj after-hype prediction price | USD 25.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Neste |
Neste Oyj Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Neste price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neste using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neste charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Neste Oyj Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neste Oyj on the next trading day is expected to be 27.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neste Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neste Oyj's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Neste Oyj Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Neste Oyj | Neste Oyj Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Neste Oyj Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Neste Oyj's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neste Oyj's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.92 and 30.19, respectively. We have considered Neste Oyj's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neste Oyj pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neste Oyj pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9914 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5018 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0241 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.1123 |
Predictive Modules for Neste Oyj
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neste Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Neste Oyj After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Neste Oyj at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Neste Oyj or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Neste Oyj, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Neste Oyj Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Neste Oyj's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Neste Oyj's historical news coverage. Neste Oyj's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.79 and 29.01, respectively. We have considered Neste Oyj's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Neste Oyj is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Neste Oyj is based on 3 months time horizon.
Neste Oyj Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Neste Oyj is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Neste Oyj backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Neste Oyj, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 3.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.90 | 25.90 | 0.00 |
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Neste Oyj Hype Timeline
Neste Oyj is now traded for 25.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Neste is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.6%. %. The volatility of related hype on Neste Oyj is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.90. About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Neste Oyj was now reported as 10.84. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of March 2023. Neste Oyj had 3:1 split on the 3rd of April 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neste Oyj to cross-verify your projections.Neste Oyj Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Neste Oyj's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Neste Oyj's future price movements. Getting to know how Neste Oyj's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Neste Oyj may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JXHGF | ENEOS Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 14.37 | |
| JXHLY | Eneos Holdings ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.16 | 5.49 | (2.47) | 18.42 | |
| PEXNY | PTT Exploration Production | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.85 | (10.71) | 50.05 | |
| OMVJF | OMV Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 6.54 | |
| GLPEF | Galp Energia SGPS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.49 | (0.01) | 7.31 | (6.74) | 25.02 | |
| TRMLF | Tourmaline Oil Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.02 | 2.74 | (2.51) | 5.96 | |
| PTXLF | PTT Exploration And | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.00 | (3.70) | 6.59 | |
| OGFGF | Origin Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.93 | |
| NATKY | JSC National Atomic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.14 | 7.37 | (5.39) | 17.29 | |
| OGFGY | Origin Energy Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.27 | (1.92) | 9.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Neste Oyj
For every potential investor in Neste, whether a beginner or expert, Neste Oyj's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neste Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neste. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neste Oyj's price trends.Neste Oyj Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neste Oyj pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neste Oyj could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neste Oyj by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Neste Oyj Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neste Oyj pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neste Oyj shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neste Oyj pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Neste Oyj entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.8 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.6 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 83.61 |
Neste Oyj Risk Indicators
The analysis of Neste Oyj's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neste Oyj's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neste pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Variance | 8.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Neste Oyj
The number of cover stories for Neste Oyj depends on current market conditions and Neste Oyj's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Neste Oyj is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Neste Oyj's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Neste Pink Sheet
Neste Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neste Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neste with respect to the benefits of owning Neste Oyj security.