Nutriband Warrant Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

NTRBW Stock  USD 1.50  0.30  16.67%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nutriband Warrant on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.09. Nutriband Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Nutriband Warrant's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 19.91 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 1.07 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 7.5 M in 2024.
Triple exponential smoothing for Nutriband Warrant - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Nutriband Warrant prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Nutriband Warrant price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Nutriband Warrant.

Nutriband Warrant Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nutriband Warrant on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nutriband Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nutriband Warrant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nutriband Warrant Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nutriband Warrant Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nutriband Warrant's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nutriband Warrant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 14.61, respectively. We have considered Nutriband Warrant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.50
1.50
Expected Value
14.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nutriband Warrant stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nutriband Warrant stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0093
MADMean absolute deviation0.1202
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0862
SAESum of the absolute errors7.09
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Nutriband Warrant observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Nutriband Warrant observations.

Predictive Modules for Nutriband Warrant

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nutriband Warrant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.5014.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.2514.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nutriband Warrant. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nutriband Warrant's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nutriband Warrant's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nutriband Warrant.

Other Forecasting Options for Nutriband Warrant

For every potential investor in Nutriband, whether a beginner or expert, Nutriband Warrant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nutriband Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nutriband. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nutriband Warrant's price trends.

Nutriband Warrant Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nutriband Warrant stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nutriband Warrant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nutriband Warrant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nutriband Warrant Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nutriband Warrant's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nutriband Warrant's current price.

Nutriband Warrant Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nutriband Warrant stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nutriband Warrant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nutriband Warrant stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nutriband Warrant entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nutriband Warrant Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nutriband Warrant's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nutriband Warrant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nutriband stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Nutriband Stock Analysis

When running Nutriband Warrant's price analysis, check to measure Nutriband Warrant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nutriband Warrant is operating at the current time. Most of Nutriband Warrant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nutriband Warrant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nutriband Warrant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nutriband Warrant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.