Natuzzi SpA Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| NTZ Stock | USD 2.89 0.05 1.76% |
The 4 Period Moving Average output for Natuzzi SpA is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Natuzzi SpA at 2.90 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. Natuzzi SpA's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Natuzzi SpA at 2.90 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 5.31 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Natuzzi SpA's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Natuzzi SpA | Natuzzi SpA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Natuzzi SpA defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The projected band runs from roughly 0.03 on the downside to about 7.57 on the upside. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Natuzzi SpA stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.5842 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0136 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0932 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0313 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.315 |
Other Forecasting Options for Natuzzi SpA
Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of Natuzzi SpA Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When Natuzzi SpA's RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in Natuzzi SpA's returns tend to persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.Natuzzi SpA Related Equities
These related stocks within the Consumer Discretionary space give benchmarks for judging Natuzzi SpA's results, margins, and growth trend. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Natuzzi SpA's peer group. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into. This type of review is most informative when done often to track how positions shift over time.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Natuzzi SpA Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Natuzzi SpA reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Natuzzi SpA near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Natuzzi SpA.
Natuzzi SpA Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Natuzzi SpA quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Natuzzi SpA have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Natuzzi SpA's price.
| Mean Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.62 | |||
| Variance | 21.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.78 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Natuzzi SpA Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Natuzzi SpA matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.02 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.32 million |