Nutex Health Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| NUTX Stock | USD 99.71 5.31 5.06% |
Nutex Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Nutex Health's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 14.07 | EPS Estimate Next Year 21 | Wall Street Target Price 250 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (5.43) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.399 |
Using Nutex Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nutex Health from the perspective of Nutex Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Nutex Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nutex Health on the next trading day is expected to be 96.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 521.43.Nutex Health Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nutex Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nutex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nutex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nutex Health. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nutex Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nutex Health.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nutex Health on the next trading day is expected to be 96.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 521.43. Nutex Health after-hype prediction price | USD 99.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nutex Health to cross-verify your projections. Nutex Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nutex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nutex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nutex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nutex Health Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nutex Health on the next trading day is expected to be 96.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.84, mean absolute percentage error of 129.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 521.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nutex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nutex Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nutex Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nutex Health | Nutex Health Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nutex Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nutex Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nutex Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 88.82 and 104.16, respectively. We have considered Nutex Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nutex Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nutex Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.1899 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 8.8378 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0608 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 521.4283 |
Predictive Modules for Nutex Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nutex Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nutex Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nutex Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nutex Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nutex Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nutex Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nutex Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nutex Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nutex Health's historical news coverage. Nutex Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 91.98 and 107.44, respectively. We have considered Nutex Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nutex Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nutex Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nutex Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nutex Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nutex Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nutex Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 7.67 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 16 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 16 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
99.71 | 99.71 | 0.00 |
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Nutex Health Hype Timeline
Nutex Health is now traded for 99.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Nutex is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nutex Health is about 4648.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.67. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Nutex Health was now reported as 45.93. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.49. Nutex Health last dividend was issued on the 1st of November 2019. The entity had 1:10 split on the 3rd of July 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 16 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nutex Health to cross-verify your projections.Nutex Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nutex Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nutex Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Nutex Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nutex Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EVH | Evolent Health | (0.71) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.51 | (7.42) | 20.55 | |
| HSTM | HealthStream | (0.44) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.99 | (2.29) | 8.53 | |
| AMN | AMN Healthcare Services | 0.86 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 4.49 | (4.03) | 44.40 | |
| MYGN | Myriad Genetics | (0.04) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.67 | (4.53) | 14.61 | |
| BFLY | Butterfly Network | (0.40) | 11 per month | 4.87 | 0.09 | 12.50 | (8.57) | 35.76 | |
| REPL | Replimune Group | (0.38) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.56 | (5.32) | 14.00 | |
| PACB | Pacific Biosciences of | (0.09) | 11 per month | 4.79 | 0.01 | 10.33 | (8.44) | 29.88 | |
| DAWN | Day One Biopharmaceuticals | (0.29) | 9 per month | 3.96 | 0.04 | 11.23 | (6.53) | 33.27 | |
| DNA | Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings | 0.04 | 11 per month | 4.18 | 0.03 | 8.31 | (6.36) | 30.46 | |
| CDNA | CareDx Inc | (0.20) | 9 per month | 3.16 | 0.06 | 6.10 | (4.53) | 28.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nutex Health
For every potential investor in Nutex, whether a beginner or expert, Nutex Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nutex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nutex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nutex Health's price trends.Nutex Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nutex Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nutex Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nutex Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nutex Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nutex Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nutex Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nutex Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nutex Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.077 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.64) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 103.36 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 102.14 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 8.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.31) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.31) |
Nutex Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nutex Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nutex Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nutex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.67 | |||
| Variance | 58.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 52.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 50.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nutex Health
The number of cover stories for Nutex Health depends on current market conditions and Nutex Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nutex Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nutex Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nutex Health Short Properties
Nutex Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nutex Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nutex Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nutex Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nutex Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.6 M |
Additional Tools for Nutex Stock Analysis
When running Nutex Health's price analysis, check to measure Nutex Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nutex Health is operating at the current time. Most of Nutex Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nutex Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nutex Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nutex Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.