NVIDIA CORP Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| NVDG Stock | 26.00 0.10 0.38% |
NVIDIA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NVIDIA CORP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 15th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of NVIDIA CORP's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.667 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.625 |
Using NVIDIA CORP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NVIDIA P CDR from the perspective of NVIDIA CORP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of NVIDIA P CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 25.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.22. NVIDIA CORP after-hype prediction price | EUR 25.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NVIDIA |
NVIDIA CORP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NVIDIA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NVIDIA using various technical indicators. When you analyze NVIDIA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NVIDIA CORP Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of NVIDIA P CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 25.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NVIDIA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NVIDIA CORP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NVIDIA CORP Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NVIDIA CORP | NVIDIA CORP Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
NVIDIA CORP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NVIDIA CORP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NVIDIA CORP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.50 and 27.97, respectively. We have considered NVIDIA CORP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NVIDIA CORP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NVIDIA CORP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.44 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.561 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.2208 |
Predictive Modules for NVIDIA CORP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NVIDIA P CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NVIDIA CORP After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NVIDIA CORP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NVIDIA CORP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NVIDIA CORP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NVIDIA CORP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NVIDIA CORP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NVIDIA CORP's historical news coverage. NVIDIA CORP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.21 and 28.73, respectively. We have considered NVIDIA CORP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NVIDIA CORP is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NVIDIA P CDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
NVIDIA CORP Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NVIDIA CORP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NVIDIA CORP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NVIDIA CORP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.73 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.00 | 25.97 | 0.12 |
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NVIDIA CORP Hype Timeline
NVIDIA P CDR is now traded for 26.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. NVIDIA is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 25.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 170.63%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on NVIDIA CORP is about 338.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.98. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.69. NVIDIA P CDR last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2025. The entity had 4:1 split on the 10th of July 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NVIDIA CORP to cross-verify your projections.NVIDIA CORP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NVIDIA CORP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NVIDIA CORP's future price movements. Getting to know how NVIDIA CORP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NVIDIA CORP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PD0 | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 0.20 | 10 per month | 1.55 | 0.1 | 4.95 | (2.83) | 14.07 | |
| A4XA | American Homes 4 | 0.60 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.26 | (2.29) | 6.23 | |
| 1HTA | HYATT HOTELS A | (5.55) | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.05 | 4.19 | (3.11) | 12.35 | |
| HTG | HomeToGo SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.75 | (0.01) | 6.25 | (5.48) | 16.97 | |
| HMT | Host Hotels Resorts | (0.30) | 8 per month | 1.51 | 0.07 | 3.40 | (3.36) | 11.40 | |
| 0XHR | Xenia Hotels Resorts | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.08 | 4.00 | (3.01) | 9.38 | |
| BE4A | Beazer Homes USA | (0.60) | 6 per month | 2.49 | 0.08 | 6.04 | (3.43) | 14.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for NVIDIA CORP
For every potential investor in NVIDIA, whether a beginner or expert, NVIDIA CORP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NVIDIA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NVIDIA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NVIDIA CORP's price trends.NVIDIA CORP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NVIDIA CORP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NVIDIA CORP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NVIDIA CORP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NVIDIA CORP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NVIDIA CORP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NVIDIA CORP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NVIDIA CORP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NVIDIA P CDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) |
NVIDIA CORP Risk Indicators
The analysis of NVIDIA CORP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NVIDIA CORP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nvidia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Variance | 8.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NVIDIA CORP
The number of cover stories for NVIDIA CORP depends on current market conditions and NVIDIA CORP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NVIDIA CORP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NVIDIA CORP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in NVIDIA Stock
NVIDIA CORP financial ratios help investors to determine whether NVIDIA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NVIDIA with respect to the benefits of owning NVIDIA CORP security.