NV5 Global Stock Forward View

NVEEDelisted Stock  USD 22.56  0.18  0.80%   
NV5 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NV5 Global stock prices and determine the direction of NV5 Global's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NV5 Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of NV5 Global's share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NV5 Global, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NV5 Global's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NV5 Global and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NV5 Global's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NV5 Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using NV5 Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NV5 Global from the perspective of NV5 Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NV5 Global on the next trading day is expected to be 22.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.30.

NV5 Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

NV5 Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NV5 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NV5 using various technical indicators. When you analyze NV5 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for NV5 Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NV5 Global value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NV5 Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NV5 Global on the next trading day is expected to be 22.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NV5 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NV5 Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NV5 Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NV5 Global  NV5 Global Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NV5 Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NV5 Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.278
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2672
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0124
SAESum of the absolute errors16.2992
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NV5 Global. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NV5 Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NV5 Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NV5 Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NV5 Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5622.5622.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.4918.4924.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.3222.9523.59
Details

NV5 Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of NV5 Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NV5 Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NV5 Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

NV5 Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting NV5 Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NV5 Global's historical news coverage. NV5 Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.56 and 22.56, respectively. We have considered NV5 Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.56
22.56
After-hype Price
22.56
Upside
NV5 Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NV5 Global is based on 3 months time horizon.

NV5 Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NV5 Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NV5 Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NV5 Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
12 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.56
22.56
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

NV5 Global Hype Timeline

NV5 Global is now traded for 22.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NV5 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on NV5 Global is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.56. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NV5 Global has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 4:1 split on the 11th of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

NV5 Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to NV5 Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NV5 Global's future price movements. Getting to know how NV5 Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NV5 Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

NV5 Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NV5 Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NV5 Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NV5 Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NV5 Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NV5 Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NV5 Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NV5 Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NV5 Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for NV5 Global

The number of cover stories for NV5 Global depends on current market conditions and NV5 Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NV5 Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NV5 Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

NV5 Global Short Properties

NV5 Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when NV5 Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NV5 Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NV5 Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NV5 Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments50.4 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in NV5 Stock

If you are still planning to invest in NV5 Global check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the NV5 Global's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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