Nvni Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NVNI Stock | 2.91 0.01 0.34% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nvni Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.30. Nvni Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nvni Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of Nvni Group's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.01) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.75) | Wall Street Target Price 25 |
Using Nvni Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nvni Group Limited from the perspective of Nvni Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nvni Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.30. Nvni Group after-hype prediction price | USD 2.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nvni Group to cross-verify your projections. Nvni Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nvni price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nvni using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nvni charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nvni Group Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Nvni Group's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 20.7 M | Current Value 11 M | Quarterly Volatility 6.4 M |
Nvni Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nvni Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nvni Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nvni Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nvni Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nvni Group | Nvni Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nvni Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nvni Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nvni Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.31, respectively. We have considered Nvni Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nvni Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nvni Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9585 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1661 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0523 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.3006 |
Predictive Modules for Nvni Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nvni Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nvni Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nvni Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nvni Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nvni Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nvni Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nvni Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nvni Group's historical news coverage. Nvni Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 8.03, respectively. We have considered Nvni Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nvni Group is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nvni Group Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nvni Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nvni Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nvni Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nvni Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 5.12 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.91 | 2.91 | 0.00 |
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Nvni Group Hype Timeline
Nvni Group Limited is now traded for 2.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Nvni is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nvni Group is about 256000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.91. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.94. Nvni Group Limited had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 6th of October 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nvni Group to cross-verify your projections.Nvni Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nvni Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nvni Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Nvni Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nvni Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SOPA | Society Pass | 0.68 | 7 per month | 8.98 | 0.03 | 16.92 | (14.54) | 91.61 | |
| RYDE | Ryde Group | 0.08 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 9.68 | (9.80) | 36.06 | |
| MTC | MMTEC Inc | (0.27) | 7 per month | 7.20 | 0.11 | 12.55 | (10.88) | 650.28 | |
| IDAI | Trust Stamp | 0.08 | 2 per month | 4.75 | 0.03 | 6.92 | (7.12) | 22.05 | |
| AIXI | XIAO I American | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 7.35 | (10.28) | 44.03 | |
| IFBD | Infobird Co | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.37 | (8.08) | 31.52 | |
| WCT | Wellchange Holdings | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.56 | (7.41) | 29.28 | |
| MYSE | Myseum | (0.17) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.33 | (8.29) | 25.91 | |
| ELWS | Earlyworks Co Ltd | (0.54) | 7 per month | 5.93 | 0.14 | 11.79 | (10.96) | 52.87 | |
| SMSI | Smith Micro Software | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.56 | (6.35) | 19.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nvni Group
For every potential investor in Nvni, whether a beginner or expert, Nvni Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nvni Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nvni. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nvni Group's price trends.Nvni Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nvni Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nvni Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nvni Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nvni Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nvni Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nvni Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nvni Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nvni Group Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3270.97 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.05) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.97 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Nvni Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nvni Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nvni Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nvni stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.28 | |||
| Variance | 27.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nvni Group
The number of cover stories for Nvni Group depends on current market conditions and Nvni Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nvni Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nvni Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nvni Group Short Properties
Nvni Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nvni Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nvni Group Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nvni Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nvni Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nvni Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nvni Group. If investors know Nvni will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nvni Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.94) |
The market value of Nvni Group Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nvni that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nvni Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nvni Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nvni Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nvni Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nvni Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nvni Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nvni Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.