Novo Nordisk Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| NVO Stock | USD 47.64 4.30 9.92% |
Novo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Novo Nordisk's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Novo Nordisk's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Novo Nordisk fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Novo Nordisk's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.058 | EPS Estimate Current Year 21.1233 | EPS Estimate Next Year 22.1721 | Wall Street Target Price 54.8283 |
Using Novo Nordisk hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Novo Nordisk AS from the perspective of Novo Nordisk response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Novo Nordisk using Novo Nordisk's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Novo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Novo Nordisk's stock price.
Novo Nordisk Short Interest
An investor who is long Novo Nordisk may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Novo Nordisk and may potentially protect profits, hedge Novo Nordisk with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 58.5822 | Short Percent 0.0084 | Short Ratio 1.45 | Shares Short Prior Month 28.5 M | 50 Day MA 53.2056 |
Novo Relative Strength Index
Novo Nordisk AS Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Novo Nordisk's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Novo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Novo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Novo Nordisk AS. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Novo Nordisk's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Novo Nordisk.
Novo Nordisk Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
Novo Nordisk's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Novo Nordisk AS stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Novo Nordisk's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Novo Nordisk stock will not fluctuate a lot when Novo Nordisk's options are near their expiration.
Novo Nordisk after-hype prediction price | USD 47.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Novo Nordisk to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Novo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Novo Nordisk AS will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Novo Nordisk trading at USD 47.64, that is roughly USD 0.0173 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Novo Nordisk's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Novo Nordisk AS options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Novo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Novo Nordisk's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Novo Nordisk's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Novo Nordisk stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Novo Nordisk's open interest, investors have to compare it to Novo Nordisk's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Novo Nordisk is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Novo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Novo Nordisk Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Novo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Novo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Novo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 1.5 M | 0.0398 |
| Check Novo Nordisk Volatility | Backtest Novo Nordisk | Information Ratio |
Novo Nordisk Trading Date Momentum
| On February 08 2026 Novo Nordisk AS was traded for 47.64 at the closing time. Highest Novo Nordisk's price during the trading hours was 47.74 and the lowest price during the day was 45.84 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 8th of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 2.67% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Novo Nordisk to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Novo Nordisk
For every potential investor in Novo, whether a beginner or expert, Novo Nordisk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Novo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Novo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Novo Nordisk's price trends.Novo Nordisk Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Novo Nordisk stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Novo Nordisk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Novo Nordisk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Novo Nordisk Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Novo Nordisk stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Novo Nordisk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Novo Nordisk stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Novo Nordisk AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Novo Nordisk Risk Indicators
The analysis of Novo Nordisk's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Novo Nordisk's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting novo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.79 | |||
| Variance | 14.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.71) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Novo Nordisk
The number of cover stories for Novo Nordisk depends on current market conditions and Novo Nordisk's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Novo Nordisk is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Novo Nordisk's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Novo Nordisk Short Properties
Novo Nordisk's future price predictability will typically decrease when Novo Nordisk's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Novo Nordisk AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Novo Nordisk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Novo Nordisk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Novo Nordisk to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Will Pharmaceuticals sector continue expanding? Could Novo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Novo Nordisk. Anticipated expansion of Novo directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Novo Nordisk data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 11.7 | Earnings Share 3.63 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Understanding Novo Nordisk AS requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Novo's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Novo Nordisk's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Novo Nordisk's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Novo Nordisk's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Novo Nordisk should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Novo Nordisk's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.