KCE EL Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| NVPA Stock | EUR 0.48 0.03 6.67% |
KCE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of KCE EL's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of KCE EL's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using KCE EL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KCE EL PCL from the perspective of KCE EL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of KCE EL PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.72. KCE EL after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KCE |
KCE EL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KCE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KCE using various technical indicators. When you analyze KCE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KCE EL Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of KCE EL PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KCE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KCE EL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KCE EL Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KCE EL | KCE EL Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
KCE EL Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KCE EL's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KCE EL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.99, respectively. We have considered KCE EL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KCE EL stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KCE EL stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.3699 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0282 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0614 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.7178 |
Predictive Modules for KCE EL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KCE EL PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KCE EL After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KCE EL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KCE EL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KCE EL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KCE EL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KCE EL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KCE EL's historical news coverage. KCE EL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 7.97, respectively. We have considered KCE EL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KCE EL is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KCE EL PCL is based on 3 months time horizon.
KCE EL Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KCE EL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KCE EL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KCE EL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 7.55 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.48 | 0.48 | 0.00 |
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KCE EL Hype Timeline
KCE EL PCL is now traded for 0.48on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.49. KCE is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on KCE EL is about 326.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.01. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.79. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KCE EL PCL last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 22nd of May 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KCE EL to cross-verify your projections.KCE EL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KCE EL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KCE EL's future price movements. Getting to know how KCE EL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KCE EL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVDG | NVIDIA P CDR | (0.40) | 1 per month | 2.64 | (0.01) | 4.18 | (3.85) | 12.01 | |
| NVD | NVIDIA | (1.84) | 11 per month | 2.07 | (0.03) | 3.36 | (3.90) | 8.65 | |
| NVD | NVIDIA | (0.72) | 10 per month | 1.96 | (0.03) | 3.11 | (3.15) | 11.01 | |
| APC8 | APPLE INC CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.64 | (2.59) | 9.65 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.25 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.62 | (2.11) | 7.96 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 1.30 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.43 | (2.51) | 9.28 | |
| ABEC | Alphabet | (7.75) | 7 per month | 1.26 | 0.02 | 3.02 | (2.46) | 7.76 | |
| ABEC | Alphabet | (9.40) | 5 per month | 1.17 | 0.07 | 3.42 | (2.27) | 7.95 | |
| ABEA | Alphabet Class A | 2.70 | 8 per month | 1.26 | 0.07 | 3.30 | (2.44) | 9.71 | |
| ABEA | Alphabet Class A | (7.25) | 7 per month | 1.31 | 0.03 | 2.89 | (2.46) | 8.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for KCE EL
For every potential investor in KCE, whether a beginner or expert, KCE EL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KCE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KCE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KCE EL's price trends.KCE EL Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KCE EL stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KCE EL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KCE EL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KCE EL Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KCE EL stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KCE EL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KCE EL stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KCE EL PCL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.48 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.88 |
KCE EL Risk Indicators
The analysis of KCE EL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KCE EL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kce stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.24 | |||
| Variance | 52.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 71.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 37.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KCE EL
The number of cover stories for KCE EL depends on current market conditions and KCE EL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KCE EL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KCE EL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in KCE Stock
KCE EL financial ratios help investors to determine whether KCE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KCE with respect to the benefits of owning KCE EL security.