Novartis Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| NVS Stock | USD 142.27 4.36 3.16% |
Novartis Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Novartis' stock price is slightly above 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Novartis, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.287 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.0531 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.9314 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.2177 | Wall Street Target Price 134.8822 |
Using Novartis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Novartis AG ADR from the perspective of Novartis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Novartis using Novartis' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Novartis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Novartis' stock price.
Novartis Short Interest
An investor who is long Novartis may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Novartis and may potentially protect profits, hedge Novartis with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 121.6057 | Short Percent 0.0028 | Short Ratio 3.01 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.4 M | 50 Day MA 131.0532 |
Novartis AG ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Novartis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Novartis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Novartis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Novartis AG ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Novartis' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Novartis.
Novartis Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
Novartis' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Novartis AG ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Novartis' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Novartis stock will not fluctuate a lot when Novartis' options are near their expiration.
Novartis after-hype prediction price | USD 140.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Novartis to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Novartis Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Novartis' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Novartis' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Novartis stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Novartis' open interest, investors have to compare it to Novartis' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Novartis is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Novartis. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Novartis Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Novartis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Novartis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Novartis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 21533.09 | 107625.0 |
| Check Novartis Volatility | Backtest Novartis | Information Ratio |
Novartis Trading Date Momentum
| On January 06 2026 Novartis AG ADR was traded for 142.27 at the closing time. Highest Novartis's price during the trading hours was 142.58 and the lowest price during the day was 137.91 . The net volume was 3.3 M. The overall trading history on the 6th of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 3.06% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Novartis to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Novartis
For every potential investor in Novartis, whether a beginner or expert, Novartis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Novartis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Novartis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Novartis' price trends.Novartis Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Novartis stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Novartis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Novartis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Novartis AG ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Novartis' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Novartis' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Novartis Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Novartis stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Novartis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Novartis stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Novartis AG ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 107625.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9336 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 140.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 140.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.21 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 4.36 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 60.48 |
Novartis Risk Indicators
The analysis of Novartis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Novartis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting novartis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8162 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.84) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Novartis Stock Analysis
When running Novartis' price analysis, check to measure Novartis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novartis is operating at the current time. Most of Novartis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novartis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novartis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novartis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.