Network CN Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

NWCN Stock  USD 0.65  0.40  160.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Network CN on the next trading day is expected to be 0.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.35. Network Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Network CN is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Network CN value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Network CN Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Network CN on the next trading day is expected to be 0.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Network Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Network CN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Network CN Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Network CNNetwork CN Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Network CN Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Network CN's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Network CN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 185.25, respectively. We have considered Network CN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.65
0.95
Expected Value
185.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Network CN pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Network CN pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1557
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1696
MAPEMean absolute percentage error2.6297
SAESum of the absolute errors10.3465
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Network CN. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Network CN. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Network CN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Network CN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Network CN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.6583.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.7383.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.310.611.53
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Network CN

For every potential investor in Network, whether a beginner or expert, Network CN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Network Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Network. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Network CN's price trends.

Network CN Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Network CN pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Network CN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Network CN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Network CN Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Network CN's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Network CN's current price.

Network CN Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Network CN pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Network CN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Network CN pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Network CN entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Network CN Risk Indicators

The analysis of Network CN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Network CN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting network pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Network CN

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Network CN position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Network CN will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Network Pink Sheet

  0.53DNTUF Dentsu IncPairCorr
  0.4CTPR CTPartners ExecutivePairCorr
  0.34AFFL Affiliated Resources CorpPairCorr
  0.31PUBGY Publicis Groupe SAPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Network CN could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Network CN when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Network CN - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Network CN to buy it.
The correlation of Network CN is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Network CN moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Network CN moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Network CN can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Network Pink Sheet

Network CN financial ratios help investors to determine whether Network Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Network with respect to the benefits of owning Network CN security.