Netcare Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

NWKHY Stock  USD 7.17  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Netcare Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 7.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Netcare Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Netcare is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Netcare Ltd ADR value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Netcare Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Netcare Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 7.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Netcare Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Netcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Netcare Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Netcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Netcare's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Netcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.17 and 7.17, respectively. We have considered Netcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.17
7.17
Expected Value
7.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Netcare pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Netcare pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria51.223
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Netcare Ltd ADR. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Netcare. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Netcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netcare Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.177.177.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.177.177.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Netcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Netcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Netcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Netcare Ltd ADR.

Other Forecasting Options for Netcare

For every potential investor in Netcare, whether a beginner or expert, Netcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Netcare Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Netcare. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Netcare's price trends.

Netcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Netcare pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Netcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Netcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Netcare Ltd ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Netcare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Netcare's current price.

Netcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Netcare pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Netcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Netcare pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Netcare Ltd ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Netcare Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Netcare's price analysis, check to measure Netcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Netcare is operating at the current time. Most of Netcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Netcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Netcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Netcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.