NewMed Energy Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| NWMD Stock | 1,128 31.46 2.71% |
NewMed |
NewMed Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of NewMed Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1,172 with a mean absolute deviation of 24.08, mean absolute percentage error of 872.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,469.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NewMed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NewMed Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NewMed Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
NewMed Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NewMed Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NewMed Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,170 and 1,173, respectively. We have considered NewMed Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NewMed Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NewMed Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.8817 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 24.0782 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0243 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1468.7685 |
Predictive Modules for NewMed Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewMed Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for NewMed Energy
For every potential investor in NewMed, whether a beginner or expert, NewMed Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NewMed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NewMed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NewMed Energy's price trends.NewMed Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NewMed Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NewMed Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NewMed Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NewMed Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NewMed Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NewMed Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NewMed Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NewMed Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NewMed Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NewMed Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NewMed Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0277 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.98) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1138.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1134.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 32.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (25.73) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (31.46) |
NewMed Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of NewMed Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NewMed Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newmed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Variance | 3.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.