Nexteligent Holdings Pink Sheet Forward View

NXGT Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Nexteligent Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nexteligent Holdings' share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nexteligent Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nexteligent Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nexteligent Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nexteligent Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nexteligent Holdings from the perspective of Nexteligent Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nexteligent Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.

Nexteligent Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0085  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nexteligent Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Nexteligent Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nexteligent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nexteligent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nexteligent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Nexteligent Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nexteligent Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nexteligent Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nexteligent Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000025, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nexteligent Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nexteligent Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nexteligent Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nexteligent Holdings  Nexteligent Holdings Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Nexteligent Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nexteligent Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nexteligent Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00007 and 8.95, respectively. We have considered Nexteligent Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.00007
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
8.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nexteligent Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nexteligent Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.9217
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0473
SAESum of the absolute errors0.021
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nexteligent Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nexteligent Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nexteligent Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexteligent Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.018.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.018.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nexteligent Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nexteligent Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nexteligent Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nexteligent Holdings.

Nexteligent Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nexteligent Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nexteligent Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Nexteligent Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nexteligent Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nexteligent Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nexteligent Holdings' historical news coverage. Nexteligent Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.95, respectively. We have considered Nexteligent Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
8.95
Upside
Nexteligent Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nexteligent Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nexteligent Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nexteligent Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nexteligent Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nexteligent Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
8.94
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
21.43 
0.00  
Notes

Nexteligent Holdings Hype Timeline

Nexteligent Holdings is now traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nexteligent is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.0085 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 21.43%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Nexteligent Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. Debt can assist Nexteligent Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nexteligent Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nexteligent Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nexteligent to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nexteligent Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nexteligent Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Nexteligent Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nexteligent Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nexteligent Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Nexteligent Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nexteligent Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Nexteligent Holdings

For every potential investor in Nexteligent, whether a beginner or expert, Nexteligent Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nexteligent Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nexteligent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nexteligent Holdings' price trends.

Nexteligent Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nexteligent Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nexteligent Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nexteligent Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nexteligent Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nexteligent Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nexteligent Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nexteligent Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nexteligent Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nexteligent Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nexteligent Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nexteligent Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nexteligent pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nexteligent Holdings

The number of cover stories for Nexteligent Holdings depends on current market conditions and Nexteligent Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nexteligent Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nexteligent Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for Nexteligent Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Nexteligent Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Nexteligent Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexteligent Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Nexteligent Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexteligent Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexteligent Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexteligent Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.