Nextplat Corp Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| NXPL Stock | USD 6.98 -0.17 -2.38% |
Nextplat Corp's 20 Period Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Nextplat Corp at 6.21 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Nextplat Corp at 6.21 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.11 , and sum of absolute errors of 26.39 .This indicates limited forecast accuracy — the model does not closely track Nextplat Corp's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nextplat Corp | Nextplat Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Nextplat Corp's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The forecast band spans 0.07 to 12.73. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Nextplat Corp stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 82.6457 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3888 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6284 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.3915 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nextplat Corp
Bollinger Bands applied to Nextplat Corp Stock price data measure how far Nextplat Corp has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Nextplat Corp's price data.Nextplat Corp Related Equities
Investors studying Nextplat Corp often look at related stocks within the Information Technology space to gauge pricing and results. Checking Nextplat Corp against peers on P/E, margins, and return on equity helps put its position in context. Peer pricing is more meaningful when the firms compared share similar business models and end markets.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nextplat Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Nextplat Corp quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Nextplat Corp.
Nextplat Corp Risk Indicators
Analyzing Nextplat Corp's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Nextplat Corp helps place recent price behavior in context.
| Mean Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.53 | |||
| Variance | 42.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 44.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -6.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Nextplat Corp Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Nextplat Corp reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.71 million |