Next10 Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

NXTN Stock  USD 1.00  0.10  11.11%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Next10 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.93. Next10 Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Next10 - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Next10 prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Next10 price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Next10 Inc.

Next10 Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Next10 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Next10 Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Next10's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Next10 Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Next10 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Next10's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Next10's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.79, respectively. We have considered Next10's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.00
1.08
Expected Value
6.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Next10 pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Next10 pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0105
MADMean absolute deviation0.0327
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0346
SAESum of the absolute errors1.9284
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Next10 observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Next10 Inc observations.

Predictive Modules for Next10

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Next10 Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Next10's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.006.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.856.56
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Next10

For every potential investor in Next10, whether a beginner or expert, Next10's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Next10 Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Next10. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Next10's price trends.

Next10 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Next10 pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Next10 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Next10 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Next10 Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Next10's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Next10's current price.

Next10 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Next10 pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Next10 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Next10 pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Next10 Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Next10 Risk Indicators

The analysis of Next10's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Next10's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting next10 pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Next10

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Next10 position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Next10 will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Next10 Pink Sheet

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Next10 could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Next10 when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Next10 - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Next10 Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Next10 is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Next10 moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Next10 Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Next10 can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Next10 Pink Sheet

Next10 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Next10 Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Next10 with respect to the benefits of owning Next10 security.