Nuveen Municipal Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NZF Fund | USD 12.19 0.01 0.08% |
Nuveen Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nuveen Municipal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nuveen Municipal's share price is approaching 39. This indicates that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nuveen Municipal, making its price go up or down. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nuveen Municipal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nuveen Municipal Credit from the perspective of Nuveen Municipal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nuveen Municipal Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 12.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.08. Nuveen Municipal after-hype prediction price | USD 12.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nuveen |
Nuveen Municipal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nuveen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nuveen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nuveen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nuveen Municipal Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nuveen Municipal Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 12.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nuveen Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nuveen Municipal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nuveen Municipal Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nuveen Municipal | Nuveen Municipal Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nuveen Municipal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nuveen Municipal's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nuveen Municipal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.65 and 12.73, respectively. We have considered Nuveen Municipal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nuveen Municipal fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nuveen Municipal fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.6716 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0016 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0505 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0041 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.08 |
Predictive Modules for Nuveen Municipal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Municipal Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nuveen Municipal After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nuveen Municipal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nuveen Municipal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Nuveen Municipal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nuveen Municipal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nuveen Municipal's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nuveen Municipal's historical news coverage. Nuveen Municipal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.66 and 12.72, respectively. We have considered Nuveen Municipal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nuveen Municipal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nuveen Municipal Credit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nuveen Municipal Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Nuveen Municipal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nuveen Municipal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nuveen Municipal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.19 | 12.19 | 0.00 |
|
Nuveen Municipal Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Nuveen Municipal Credit is traded for 12.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nuveen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nuveen Municipal is about 534.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.19. About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nuveen Municipal Credit has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 148.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of October 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuveen Municipal to cross-verify your projections.Nuveen Municipal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nuveen Municipal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nuveen Municipal's future price movements. Getting to know how Nuveen Municipal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nuveen Municipal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVG | Nuveen Amt Free | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.33 | (0.07) | 0.74 | (0.64) | 2.72 | |
| JPC | Nuveen Preferred Income | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.44 | (0.08) | 0.76 | (0.87) | 2.74 | |
| NAD | Nuveen Dividend Advantage | (0.06) | 4 per month | 0.33 | (0.1) | 0.93 | (0.74) | 2.31 | |
| ETY | Eaton Vance Tax | 0.15 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.18 | (1.35) | 3.53 | |
| FIDLX | Fidelity Advisor Large | 0.81 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.92 | (1.34) | 3.50 | |
| UTF | Cohen And Steers | 0.16 | 3 per month | 0.66 | 0.05 | 1.26 | (1.17) | 3.58 | |
| PTY | Pimco Corporate Income | (0.11) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.10 | (0.82) | 3.79 | |
| GOF | Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities | (0.05) | 3 per month | 1.52 | (0.01) | 1.93 | (3.39) | 7.73 | |
| ACP-PA | Aberdeen Income Credit | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.14 | (0.74) | 2.33 | |
| NAC | Nuveen California Dividend | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.34 | (0.09) | 0.60 | (0.60) | 2.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nuveen Municipal
For every potential investor in Nuveen, whether a beginner or expert, Nuveen Municipal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nuveen Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nuveen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nuveen Municipal's price trends.Nuveen Municipal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nuveen Municipal fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nuveen Municipal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuveen Municipal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nuveen Municipal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nuveen Municipal fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nuveen Municipal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nuveen Municipal fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Nuveen Municipal Credit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6197.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.10) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.24 |
Nuveen Municipal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nuveen Municipal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nuveen Municipal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nuveen fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4104 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5342 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5357 | |||
| Variance | 0.287 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3384 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2853 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nuveen Municipal
The number of cover stories for Nuveen Municipal depends on current market conditions and Nuveen Municipal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nuveen Municipal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nuveen Municipal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Fund
Nuveen Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Municipal security.
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device |