Spark New Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| NZTCF Stock | USD 1.34 0.00 0.00% |
Spark Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Spark New's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Spark New's share price is at 55. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Spark New, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Spark New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spark New Zealand from the perspective of Spark New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Spark New Zealand on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.44. Spark New after-hype prediction price | USD 1.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spark |
Spark New Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Spark New Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Spark New Zealand on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Spark Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Spark New's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Spark New Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Spark New | Spark New Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Spark New Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Spark New's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Spark New's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered Spark New's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Spark New pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Spark New pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.0987 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 3.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0413 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.034 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.435 |
Predictive Modules for Spark New
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spark New Zealand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spark New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Spark New After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spark New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spark New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Spark New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spark New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spark New's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spark New's historical news coverage. Spark New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 6.71, respectively. We have considered Spark New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spark New is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spark New Zealand is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spark New Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spark New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spark New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spark New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 5.42 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.34 | 1.29 | 3.73 |
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Spark New Hype Timeline
Spark New Zealand is now traded for 1.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Spark is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -3.73%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Spark New is about 6022.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.33. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of September 2022. Spark New Zealand had 8:9 split on the 24th of September 2007. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Spark New to cross-verify your projections.Spark New Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spark New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spark New's future price movements. Getting to know how Spark New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spark New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GMOYF | GMO Internet | (0.40) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.92 | |
| CHRYY | Chorus Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | 0.03 | 5.04 | (2.53) | 15.17 | |
| CLCMF | Sinch AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.05 | |
| LILA | Liberty Latin America | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.45 | (4.26) | 15.16 | |
| SMNUF | PT Sarana Menara | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.05 | |
| BGAOY | Proximus NV ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.63 | (5.45) | 17.91 | |
| TCMFF | Telecom Argentina SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 84.45 | 0.12 | 16.22 | (21.28) | 184,953 | |
| ZONNF | NOS SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.12 | |
| HTWSF | Helios Towers plc | (0.40) | 8 per month | 0.90 | 0.11 | 2.53 | (2.20) | 7.20 | |
| TRKNF | Trk Telekomnikasyon Anonim | 0.04 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Spark New
For every potential investor in Spark, whether a beginner or expert, Spark New's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Spark Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Spark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Spark New's price trends.Spark New Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Spark New pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Spark New could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Spark New by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Spark New Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Spark New pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Spark New shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Spark New pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Spark New Zealand entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Spark New Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spark New's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spark New's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting spark pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.22 | |||
| Variance | 27.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 45.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.34 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Spark New
The number of cover stories for Spark New depends on current market conditions and Spark New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spark New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spark New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Spark Pink Sheet
Spark New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Spark Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Spark with respect to the benefits of owning Spark New security.