ONEOK Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

O1KE34 Stock  BRL 269.62  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ONEOK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 272.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 248.11. ONEOK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ONEOK stock prices and determine the direction of ONEOK Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ONEOK's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through ONEOK price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

ONEOK Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ONEOK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 272.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.07, mean absolute percentage error of 37.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 248.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ONEOK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ONEOK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ONEOK Stock Forecast Pattern

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ONEOK Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ONEOK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ONEOK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 269.74 and 274.28, respectively. We have considered ONEOK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
269.62
269.74
Downside
272.01
Expected Value
274.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ONEOK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ONEOK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.7235
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.0674
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.016
SAESum of the absolute errors248.1097
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as ONEOK Inc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for ONEOK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ONEOK Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
267.35269.62271.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
214.68216.95296.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
269.62269.62269.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ONEOK. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ONEOK's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ONEOK's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ONEOK Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for ONEOK

For every potential investor in ONEOK, whether a beginner or expert, ONEOK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ONEOK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ONEOK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ONEOK's price trends.

ONEOK Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ONEOK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ONEOK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ONEOK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ONEOK Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ONEOK's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ONEOK's current price.

ONEOK Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ONEOK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ONEOK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ONEOK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ONEOK Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ONEOK Risk Indicators

The analysis of ONEOK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ONEOK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oneok stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ONEOK Stock

When determining whether ONEOK Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze ONEOK's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ONEOK's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ONEOK Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ONEOK to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Please note, there is a significant difference between ONEOK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ONEOK is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ONEOK's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.