ORIX JREIT Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

O2F Stock  EUR 535.00  5.00  0.93%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ORIX JREIT INC on the next trading day is expected to be 547.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 576.88. ORIX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ORIX JREIT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the value of rsi of ORIX JREIT's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ORIX JREIT's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ORIX JREIT and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ORIX JREIT's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ORIX JREIT INC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ORIX JREIT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ORIX JREIT INC from the perspective of ORIX JREIT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ORIX JREIT INC on the next trading day is expected to be 547.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 576.88.

ORIX JREIT after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 535.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ORIX JREIT to cross-verify your projections.

ORIX JREIT Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ORIX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ORIX using various technical indicators. When you analyze ORIX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for ORIX JREIT is based on an artificially constructed time series of ORIX JREIT daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

ORIX JREIT 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ORIX JREIT INC on the next trading day is expected to be 547.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.68, mean absolute percentage error of 274.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 576.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ORIX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ORIX JREIT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ORIX JREIT Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ORIX JREITORIX JREIT Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ORIX JREIT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ORIX JREIT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ORIX JREIT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 545.49 and 549.51, respectively. We have considered ORIX JREIT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
535.00
545.49
Downside
547.50
Expected Value
549.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ORIX JREIT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ORIX JREIT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.8598
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.7662
MADMean absolute deviation10.6829
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0188
SAESum of the absolute errors576.875
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. ORIX JREIT INC 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for ORIX JREIT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ORIX JREIT INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
532.97535.00537.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
466.27468.30588.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
531.12568.71606.31
Details

ORIX JREIT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ORIX JREIT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ORIX JREIT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ORIX JREIT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ORIX JREIT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ORIX JREIT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ORIX JREIT's historical news coverage. ORIX JREIT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 532.97 and 537.03, respectively. We have considered ORIX JREIT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
535.00
532.97
Downside
535.00
After-hype Price
537.03
Upside
ORIX JREIT is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ORIX JREIT INC is based on 3 months time horizon.

ORIX JREIT Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ORIX JREIT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ORIX JREIT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ORIX JREIT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
2.01
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
535.00
535.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

ORIX JREIT Hype Timeline

ORIX JREIT INC is now traded for 535.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ORIX is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on ORIX JREIT is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 535.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of February 2019. ORIX JREIT INC had 1:2 split on the 25th of August 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ORIX JREIT to cross-verify your projections.

ORIX JREIT Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ORIX JREIT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ORIX JREIT's future price movements. Getting to know how ORIX JREIT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ORIX JREIT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for ORIX JREIT

For every potential investor in ORIX, whether a beginner or expert, ORIX JREIT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ORIX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ORIX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ORIX JREIT's price trends.

ORIX JREIT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ORIX JREIT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ORIX JREIT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ORIX JREIT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ORIX JREIT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ORIX JREIT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ORIX JREIT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ORIX JREIT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ORIX JREIT INC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ORIX JREIT Risk Indicators

The analysis of ORIX JREIT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ORIX JREIT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ORIX JREIT

The number of cover stories for ORIX JREIT depends on current market conditions and ORIX JREIT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ORIX JREIT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ORIX JREIT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in ORIX Stock

ORIX JREIT financial ratios help investors to determine whether ORIX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ORIX with respect to the benefits of owning ORIX JREIT security.