OmniAb Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OABI Stock | USD 1.76 0.03 1.68% |
OmniAb Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of OmniAb's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, the RSI of OmniAb's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling OmniAb, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.55) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.42) | Wall Street Target Price 7.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.14) |
Using OmniAb hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OmniAb Inc from the perspective of OmniAb response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OmniAb using OmniAb's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OmniAb using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OmniAb's stock price.
OmniAb Implied Volatility | 2.85 |
OmniAb's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OmniAb Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OmniAb's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OmniAb stock will not fluctuate a lot when OmniAb's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OmniAb Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.81. OmniAb after-hype prediction price | USD 1.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OmniAb to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 OmniAb Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast OmniAb's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in OmniAb's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for OmniAb stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current OmniAb's open interest, investors have to compare it to OmniAb's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of OmniAb is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in OmniAb. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
OmniAb Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OmniAb price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OmniAb using various technical indicators. When you analyze OmniAb charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OmniAb Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OmniAb Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OmniAb Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OmniAb's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OmniAb Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OmniAb | OmniAb Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
OmniAb Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OmniAb's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OmniAb's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.28, respectively. We have considered OmniAb's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OmniAb stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OmniAb stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5713 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0054 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0461 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0252 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.81 |
Predictive Modules for OmniAb
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OmniAb Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OmniAb After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OmniAb at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OmniAb or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OmniAb, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OmniAb Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OmniAb's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OmniAb's historical news coverage. OmniAb's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 5.29, respectively. We have considered OmniAb's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OmniAb is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OmniAb Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
OmniAb Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OmniAb is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OmniAb backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OmniAb, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 3.52 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.76 | 1.76 | 0.00 |
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OmniAb Hype Timeline
OmniAb Inc is now traded for 1.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. OmniAb is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on OmniAb is about 70400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.76. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.91. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OmniAb Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.58. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OmniAb to cross-verify your projections.OmniAb Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OmniAb's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OmniAb's future price movements. Getting to know how OmniAb's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OmniAb may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CDXS | Codexis | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.21 | (8.20) | 22.77 | |
| SGMO | Sangamo Therapeutics | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.51 | (7.14) | 36.11 | |
| IVVD | Invivyd | (0.01) | 8 per month | 5.64 | 0.02 | 11.11 | (8.57) | 46.37 | |
| IMDX | Insight Molecular Diagnostics | 0.33 | 7 per month | 4.33 | 0.05 | 9.03 | (6.67) | 22.08 | |
| CCCC | C4 Therapeutics | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.06 | (7.00) | 24.93 | |
| RANI | Rani Therapeutics Holdings | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.28 | (9.20) | 63.72 | |
| IPHA | Innate Pharma | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.41 | (3.87) | 39.49 | |
| ARMP | Armata Pharmaceuticals | (0.22) | 8 per month | 6.05 | 0.10 | 14.73 | (9.16) | 38.51 | |
| TARA | Protara Therapeutics | (0.09) | 10 per month | 4.85 | 0.09 | 11.78 | (8.67) | 39.96 | |
| MIST | Milestone Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 8 per month | 4.18 | 0.03 | 6.15 | (5.80) | 34.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for OmniAb
For every potential investor in OmniAb, whether a beginner or expert, OmniAb's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OmniAb Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OmniAb. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OmniAb's price trends.OmniAb Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OmniAb stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OmniAb could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OmniAb by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OmniAb Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OmniAb stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OmniAb shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OmniAb stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OmniAb Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18451.47 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.30) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.18 |
OmniAb Risk Indicators
The analysis of OmniAb's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OmniAb's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting omniab stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Variance | 12.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OmniAb
The number of cover stories for OmniAb depends on current market conditions and OmniAb's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OmniAb is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OmniAb's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OmniAb Short Properties
OmniAb's future price predictability will typically decrease when OmniAb's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OmniAb Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OmniAb's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OmniAb's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 59.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OmniAb to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is there potential for Biotechnology market expansion? Will OmniAb introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OmniAb. Anticipated expansion of OmniAb directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about OmniAb listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.58) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.46) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
OmniAb Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on OmniAb's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate OmniAb's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since OmniAb's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between OmniAb's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OmniAb should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, OmniAb's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.