OneAscent International Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

OAIM Etf  USD 32.98  0.19  0.58%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneAscent International Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 32.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.42. OneAscent Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for OneAscent International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of OneAscent International Equity value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

OneAscent International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneAscent International Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 32.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OneAscent Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OneAscent International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

OneAscent International Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest OneAscent InternationalOneAscent International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

OneAscent International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting OneAscent International's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OneAscent International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.89 and 33.54, respectively. We have considered OneAscent International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.98
32.71
Expected Value
33.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OneAscent International etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OneAscent International etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3468
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2036
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0061
SAESum of the absolute errors12.42
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of OneAscent International Equity. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict OneAscent International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for OneAscent International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OneAscent International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.1532.9733.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.3433.1633.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.4832.9533.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for OneAscent International

For every potential investor in OneAscent, whether a beginner or expert, OneAscent International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OneAscent Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OneAscent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OneAscent International's price trends.

OneAscent International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OneAscent International etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OneAscent International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OneAscent International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

OneAscent International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of OneAscent International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of OneAscent International's current price.

OneAscent International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OneAscent International etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OneAscent International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OneAscent International etf market strength indicators, traders can identify OneAscent International Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

OneAscent International Risk Indicators

The analysis of OneAscent International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OneAscent International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oneascent etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether OneAscent International is a strong investment it is important to analyze OneAscent International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact OneAscent International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding OneAscent Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneAscent International to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
The market value of OneAscent International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OneAscent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OneAscent International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OneAscent International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OneAscent International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OneAscent International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OneAscent International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OneAscent International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OneAscent International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.