Orbit Garant Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

OBGRF Stock  USD 1.25  0.10  8.70%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orbit Garant Drilling on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07. Orbit Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Orbit Garant's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Orbit Garant's share price is above 70 as of 22nd of January 2026. This indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Orbit, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 72

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Orbit Garant's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Orbit Garant and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Orbit Garant's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Orbit Garant Drilling, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Orbit Garant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orbit Garant Drilling from the perspective of Orbit Garant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orbit Garant Drilling on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07.

Orbit Garant after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orbit Garant to cross-verify your projections.

Orbit Garant Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Orbit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orbit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orbit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Orbit Garant simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Orbit Garant Drilling are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Orbit Garant Drilling prices get older.

Orbit Garant Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orbit Garant Drilling on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orbit Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orbit Garant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Orbit Garant Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Orbit GarantOrbit Garant Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Orbit Garant Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Orbit Garant's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orbit Garant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.18, respectively. We have considered Orbit Garant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.25
1.25
Expected Value
5.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orbit Garant pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orbit Garant pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.9101
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0025
MADMean absolute deviation0.0178
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.017
SAESum of the absolute errors1.07
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Orbit Garant Drilling forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Orbit Garant observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Orbit Garant

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orbit Garant Drilling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.255.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.974.90
Details

Orbit Garant After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Orbit Garant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Orbit Garant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Orbit Garant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Orbit Garant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Orbit Garant's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Orbit Garant's historical news coverage. Orbit Garant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.18, respectively. We have considered Orbit Garant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.25
1.25
After-hype Price
5.18
Upside
Orbit Garant is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Orbit Garant Drilling is based on 3 months time horizon.

Orbit Garant Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Orbit Garant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orbit Garant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Orbit Garant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
3.93
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.25
1.25
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Orbit Garant Hype Timeline

Orbit Garant Drilling is now traded for 1.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Orbit is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Orbit Garant is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.25. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orbit Garant Drilling recorded a loss per share of 0.19. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orbit Garant to cross-verify your projections.

Orbit Garant Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Orbit Garant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Orbit Garant's future price movements. Getting to know how Orbit Garant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Orbit Garant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KVGOFKavango Resources Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00 (10.77) 136.36 
NKGFFNevada King Gold 0.00 0 per month 3.09  0.10  7.69 (6.25) 31.76 
ZNWLFZinnwald Lithium Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  1.43  0.00  1,038 
WSZWFWesizwe Platinum Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CONXFNickel 28 Capital 0.00 0 per month 2.07  0.18  6.12 (5.13) 17.07 
SHERFSherritt International 0.00 0 per month 3.58  0.21  11.11 (10.00) 35.53 
FCSMFFocus Graphite 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 12.90 (10.00) 36.13 
IBATFInternational Battery Metals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 10.00 (14.29) 36.67 
LLKKFLake Resources NL 0.00 0 per month 6.88  0.27  17.92 (10.20) 43.43 
HLOGFHelium One Global 0.00 0 per month 11.02  0.09  33.33 (24.00) 72.97 

Other Forecasting Options for Orbit Garant

For every potential investor in Orbit, whether a beginner or expert, Orbit Garant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orbit Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orbit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orbit Garant's price trends.

Orbit Garant Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orbit Garant pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orbit Garant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orbit Garant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Orbit Garant Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orbit Garant pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orbit Garant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orbit Garant pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Orbit Garant Drilling entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Orbit Garant Risk Indicators

The analysis of Orbit Garant's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orbit Garant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orbit pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Orbit Garant

The number of cover stories for Orbit Garant depends on current market conditions and Orbit Garant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Orbit Garant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Orbit Garant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Orbit Pink Sheet

Orbit Garant financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orbit Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orbit with respect to the benefits of owning Orbit Garant security.