OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OCBB Stock | EUR 28.60 0.20 0.69% |
OVERSEA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 20th of February 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 80
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 |
Using OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR2 from the perspective of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR2 on the next trading day is expected to be 28.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.19. OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 after-hype prediction price | EUR 28.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OVERSEA |
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OVERSEA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OVERSEA using various technical indicators. When you analyze OVERSEA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR2 on the next trading day is expected to be 28.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OVERSEA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 | OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.53 and 29.67, respectively. We have considered OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8302 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1021 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2032 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0076 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.1949 |
Predictive Modules for OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's historical news coverage. OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.80 and 29.94, respectively. We have considered OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 is based on 3 months time horizon.
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.07 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.60 | 28.87 | 0.24 |
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OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Hype Timeline
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 is now traded for 28.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. OVERSEA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 is about 629.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.55. The company reported the revenue of 13.74 B. Net Income was 4.67 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.74 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 to cross-verify your projections.OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's future price movements. Getting to know how OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NRSA | NTG Nordic Transport | 0.00 | 3 per month | 2.06 | (0.01) | 3.52 | (2.92) | 13.35 | |
| XSI | Sanyo Chemical Industries | (0.60) | 5 per month | 1.42 | 0.23 | 2.94 | (2.46) | 7.62 | |
| SUI | Sekisui Chemical Co | 0.1 | 2 per month | 1.22 | 0.08 | 2.90 | (2.10) | 7.85 | |
| J73 | BROADPEAK SA EO | 0.05 | 1 per month | 2.46 | 0.04 | 6.49 | (5.48) | 19.85 | |
| 3GH | Kaufman Broad SA | (0.45) | 3 per month | 1.34 | 0.02 | 3.25 | (2.16) | 11.62 | |
| EAC | Eastman Chemical | (0.06) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.16 | 3.38 | (2.62) | 11.95 | |
| XFB | X FAB Silicon Foundries | (0.23) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.51 | (5.28) | 15.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2
For every potential investor in OVERSEA, whether a beginner or expert, OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OVERSEA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OVERSEA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's price trends.OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR2 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 28.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 28.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 80.27 |
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 Risk Indicators
The analysis of OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oversea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7777 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.627 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3932 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2
The number of cover stories for OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 depends on current market conditions and OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in OVERSEA Stock
OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether OVERSEA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OVERSEA with respect to the benefits of owning OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2 security.