Ocado Group Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OCDGF Stock | USD 2.97 0.24 7.48% |
Ocado Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Ocado Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Ocado Group's share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ocado Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ocado Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ocado Group PLC from the perspective of Ocado Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ocado Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 2.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.94. Ocado Group after-hype prediction price | USD 2.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ocado |
Ocado Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ocado price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ocado using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ocado charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ocado Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ocado Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 2.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ocado Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ocado Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ocado Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ocado Group | Ocado Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Ocado Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ocado Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ocado Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.53, respectively. We have considered Ocado Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ocado Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ocado Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.625 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0043 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0823 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0277 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.94 |
Predictive Modules for Ocado Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ocado Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ocado Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ocado Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ocado Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Ocado Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ocado Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ocado Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ocado Group's historical news coverage. Ocado Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 8.53, respectively. We have considered Ocado Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ocado Group is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ocado Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ocado Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ocado Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ocado Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ocado Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 5.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.97 | 2.97 | 0.00 |
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Ocado Group Hype Timeline
Ocado Group PLC is now traded for 2.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ocado is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ocado Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.97. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Ocado Group was now reported as 1.95. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.37. Ocado Group PLC had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ocado Group to cross-verify your projections.Ocado Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ocado Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ocado Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Ocado Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ocado Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GGGSF | Greggs plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | (0.01) | 5.34 | (5.29) | 18.53 | |
| GGGSY | Greggs plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.80 | (4.06) | 12.59 | |
| SUEZY | Suedzucker AG ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.92 | |
| SUEZF | Sdzucker AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.15 | |
| DFILF | Dairy Farm International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.79 | |
| BICEF | Socit BIC SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.66 | 0.02 | 2.13 | (1.77) | 11.11 | |
| KBYPF | Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LIOPF | Lion Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| REMYY | Remy Cointreau SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.87 | (3.52) | 10.81 | |
| UVRBF | Universal Robina | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ocado Group
For every potential investor in Ocado, whether a beginner or expert, Ocado Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ocado Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ocado. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ocado Group's price trends.Ocado Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ocado Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ocado Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ocado Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ocado Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ocado Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ocado Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ocado Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ocado Group PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.97 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.97 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.24) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.14 |
Ocado Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ocado Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ocado Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ocado pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.44 | |||
| Variance | 29.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 36.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ocado Group
The number of cover stories for Ocado Group depends on current market conditions and Ocado Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ocado Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ocado Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Ocado Pink Sheet
Ocado Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ocado Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ocado with respect to the benefits of owning Ocado Group security.