Oakley Capital Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

OCI Stock   486.50  3.00  0.61%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Oakley Capital Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 488.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 260.16. Oakley Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Oakley Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Oakley Capital Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Oakley Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Oakley Capital's Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 1.3 B, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (196.8 M).
Oakley Capital polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Oakley Capital Investments as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Oakley Capital Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Oakley Capital Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 488.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.20, mean absolute percentage error of 24.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 260.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oakley Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oakley Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oakley Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Oakley Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oakley Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oakley Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 487.71 and 489.10, respectively. We have considered Oakley Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
486.50
487.71
Downside
488.41
Expected Value
489.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oakley Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oakley Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.1459
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.1962
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0084
SAESum of the absolute errors260.1641
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Oakley Capital historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Oakley Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oakley Capital Inves. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
485.65486.34487.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
364.19364.88535.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Oakley Capital

For every potential investor in Oakley, whether a beginner or expert, Oakley Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oakley Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oakley. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oakley Capital's price trends.

Oakley Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oakley Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oakley Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oakley Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oakley Capital Inves Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oakley Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oakley Capital's current price.

Oakley Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oakley Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oakley Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oakley Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oakley Capital Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oakley Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oakley Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oakley Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oakley stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Oakley Stock

Oakley Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oakley Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oakley with respect to the benefits of owning Oakley Capital security.