ODDITY Tech Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

Key Indicators . Simple Moving Average . Stocks . USA . 
Stock . ODDITY Tech Ltd
ODD Stock   14.79  -0.10  -0.67%   
ODDITY Tech Ltd's Simple Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. A small Bias confirms the model is not systematically over- or under-predicting. The Simple Moving Average model projects ODDITY Tech at 14.79 for the next trading day, at the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
The two-period moving average forecast for ODDITY Tech replaces each daily closing price with the mean of that price and the preceding day's close. This produces a lightly smoothed series that closely tracks the actual price with a one-period lag.

Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts ODDITY Tech at 14.79 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.06 , and sum of absolute errors of 57.95 .
This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in ODDITY Tech's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ODDITY Tech  ODDITY Tech Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

The projected range for ODDITY Tech reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The current forecast range spans downside near 7.17 and upside near 22.41. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
14.79
7.17
Downside
14.79
Expected Value
22.41
Upside
Target Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for ODDITY Tech stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1343
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3339
MADMean absolute deviation0.9822
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0644
SAESum of the absolute errors57.95
With only two periods, the model is highly responsive to recent ODDITY Tech Ltd price changes but provides minimal noise reduction. It is best suited for short-term evaluation of low-to-moderate volatility price series. A widening gap between the forecast and actual values may indicate an acceleration in price momentum.

Other Forecasting Options for ODDITY Tech

Bollinger Bands applied to ODDITY Tech Stock price data measure how far ODDITY Tech has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to ODDITY Tech's price data. On-balance volume for ODDITY Tech Stock creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in ODDITY Tech. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for ODDITY Tech's.
Naive Prediction
Simple Exponential Smoothing
Double Exponential Smoothing
Triple Exponential Smoothing
Simple Regression
Polynomial Regression
Simple Moving Average
4 Period Moving Average
8 Period Moving Average
20 Period Moving Average

ODDITY Tech Related Equities

These related stocks within the Consumer Staples space give benchmarks for judging ODDITY Tech's results, margins, and growth trend. Checking ODDITY Tech against peers on P/E, margins, and return on equity helps put its position in context. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ODDITY Tech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for ODDITY Tech quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in ODDITY Tech. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation. Monitoring these indicators for ODDITY Tech through complete market cycles reveals recurring patterns.
Accumulation Distribution0.0563
Daily Balance Of Power-0.12
Rate Of Daily Change0.99
Day Median Price14.84
Day Typical Price14.82
Market Facilitation Index0.86
Price Action Indicator-0.10
Period Momentum Indicator-0.10

ODDITY Tech Risk Indicators

Analyzing ODDITY Tech's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in ODDITY Tech helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization. When semi-deviation is high relative to standard deviation, ODDITY Tech's losses have been disproportionately large compared to gains.
Mean Deviation4.28
Standard Deviation7.56
Variance57.11
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

ODDITY Tech Short Properties

Short-interest data for ODDITY Tech reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.64 million
Cash And Short Term Investments413.38 million
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