Osisko Development Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ODV Stock  USD 3.63  0.08  2.16%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osisko Development Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.39. Osisko Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Osisko Development's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Osisko Development's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Osisko Development and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Osisko Development's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Osisko Development Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Osisko Development's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
6.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
26.385
Using Osisko Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Osisko Development Corp from the perspective of Osisko Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Osisko Development using Osisko Development's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Osisko using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Osisko Development's stock price.

Osisko Development Short Interest

An investor who is long Osisko Development may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Osisko Development and may potentially protect profits, hedge Osisko Development with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
2.6806
Short Ratio
8.12
Shares Short Prior Month
13.6 M
50 Day MA
3.4652
Shares Short
15.9 M

Osisko Development Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Osisko Development's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Osisko. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Osisko can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Osisko Development Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Osisko Development's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Osisko Development.

Osisko Development Implied Volatility

    
  1.17  
Osisko Development's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Osisko Development Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Osisko Development's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Osisko Development stock will not fluctuate a lot when Osisko Development's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osisko Development Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.39.

Osisko Development after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Osisko Development to cross-verify your projections.
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 0.50 in 2026. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 0.29 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to climb to about 113.3 M in 2026, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (114 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Osisko Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Osisko Development's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Osisko Development's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Osisko Development stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Osisko Development's open interest, investors have to compare it to Osisko Development's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Osisko Development is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Osisko. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Osisko Development Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Osisko price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Osisko using various technical indicators. When you analyze Osisko charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Osisko Development's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2019-12-31
Previous Quarter
46.3 M
Current Value
401.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
86.8 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Osisko Development is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Osisko Development Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Osisko Development Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osisko Development Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Osisko Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Osisko Development's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Osisko Development Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Osisko DevelopmentOsisko Development Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Osisko Development Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Osisko Development's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Osisko Development's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.10 and 7.43, respectively. We have considered Osisko Development's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.63
3.77
Expected Value
7.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Osisko Development stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Osisko Development stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.6687
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.087
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0255
SAESum of the absolute errors5.392
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Osisko Development Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Osisko Development. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Osisko Development

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osisko Development Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Osisko Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.637.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.996.66
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.196.807.55
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Osisko Development

For every potential investor in Osisko, whether a beginner or expert, Osisko Development's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Osisko Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Osisko. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Osisko Development's price trends.

Osisko Development Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Osisko Development stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Osisko Development could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Osisko Development by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Osisko Development Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Osisko Development's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Osisko Development's current price.

Osisko Development Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Osisko Development stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Osisko Development shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Osisko Development stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Osisko Development Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Osisko Development Risk Indicators

The analysis of Osisko Development's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Osisko Development's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting osisko stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Osisko Stock Analysis

When running Osisko Development's price analysis, check to measure Osisko Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Osisko Development is operating at the current time. Most of Osisko Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Osisko Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Osisko Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Osisko Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.