Osage Exploration Stock Forward View
| OEDVQ Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Osage Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Osage Exploration's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Osage Exploration's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Osage Exploration fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Osage Exploration's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 1 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Using Osage Exploration hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Osage Exploration Development from the perspective of Osage Exploration response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osage Exploration Development on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Osage Exploration after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Osage Exploration to cross-verify your projections. Osage Exploration Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Osage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Osage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Osage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Osage Exploration Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Osage Exploration's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 5.8 M | Current Value 6.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 1.6 M |
Osage Exploration Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osage Exploration Development on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Osage Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Osage Exploration's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Osage Exploration Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Osage Exploration | Osage Exploration Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Osage Exploration Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Osage Exploration's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Osage Exploration's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Osage Exploration's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Osage Exploration stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Osage Exploration stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 30.385 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Osage Exploration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osage Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Osage Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Osage Exploration After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Osage Exploration at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Osage Exploration or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Osage Exploration, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Osage Exploration Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Osage Exploration's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Osage Exploration's historical news coverage. Osage Exploration's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Osage Exploration's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Osage Exploration is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Osage Exploration is based on 3 months time horizon.
Osage Exploration Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Osage Exploration is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Osage Exploration backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Osage Exploration, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Osage Exploration Hype Timeline
Osage Exploration is now traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Osage is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Osage Exploration is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.55. Osage Exploration had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:750 split on the 15th of May 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Osage Exploration to cross-verify your projections.Osage Exploration Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Osage Exploration's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Osage Exploration's future price movements. Getting to know how Osage Exploration's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Osage Exploration may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SOQDQ | Sonde Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RKOS | Arkose Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 14.29 | 0.00 | 300.00 | |
| OCTX | Oct 88 Res | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TSCAF | Tuscany Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SUNWQ | Sunworks | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ECCE | Eagle Ford Oil | 0.05 | 16 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| SUBB | Suburban Minerals Co | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BPIGF | BPI Energy Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| POLR | Polar Petroleum Corp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Osage Exploration
For every potential investor in Osage, whether a beginner or expert, Osage Exploration's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Osage Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Osage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Osage Exploration's price trends.Osage Exploration Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Osage Exploration stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Osage Exploration could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Osage Exploration by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Osage Exploration Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Osage Exploration stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Osage Exploration shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Osage Exploration stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Osage Exploration Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Osage Exploration
The number of cover stories for Osage Exploration depends on current market conditions and Osage Exploration's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Osage Exploration is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Osage Exploration's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Osage Stock Analysis
When running Osage Exploration's price analysis, check to measure Osage Exploration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Osage Exploration is operating at the current time. Most of Osage Exploration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Osage Exploration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Osage Exploration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Osage Exploration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.