Orthofix Medical Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

OFIX Stock  USD 14.84  0.32  2.11%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orthofix Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 14.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.96. Orthofix Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Orthofix Medical's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Orthofix Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Orthofix Medical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Orthofix Medical's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.38
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.69
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.42
Wall Street Target Price
22.8
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.12
Using Orthofix Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orthofix Medical from the perspective of Orthofix Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Orthofix Medical using Orthofix Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Orthofix using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Orthofix Medical's stock price.

Orthofix Medical Implied Volatility

    
  1.1  
Orthofix Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Orthofix Medical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Orthofix Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Orthofix Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Orthofix Medical's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orthofix Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 14.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.96.

Orthofix Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orthofix Medical to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Orthofix Stock please use our How to Invest in Orthofix Medical guide.At this time, Orthofix Medical's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 11.74 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 4.10 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 46 M in 2026, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (16.9 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Orthofix Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Orthofix Medical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Orthofix Medical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Orthofix Medical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Orthofix Medical's open interest, investors have to compare it to Orthofix Medical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Orthofix Medical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Orthofix. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Orthofix Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Orthofix price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orthofix using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orthofix charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Orthofix Medical - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Orthofix Medical prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Orthofix Medical price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Orthofix Medical.

Orthofix Medical Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orthofix Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 14.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orthofix Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orthofix Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Orthofix Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Orthofix MedicalOrthofix Medical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Orthofix Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Orthofix Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orthofix Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.65 and 16.87, respectively. We have considered Orthofix Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.84
14.76
Expected Value
16.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orthofix Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orthofix Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0336
MADMean absolute deviation0.2705
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0177
SAESum of the absolute errors15.9604
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Orthofix Medical observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Orthofix Medical observations.

Predictive Modules for Orthofix Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orthofix Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7014.8316.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8514.9817.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.6915.5216.35
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.7522.8025.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Orthofix Medical

For every potential investor in Orthofix, whether a beginner or expert, Orthofix Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orthofix Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orthofix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orthofix Medical's price trends.

Orthofix Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orthofix Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orthofix Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orthofix Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Orthofix Medical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Orthofix Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Orthofix Medical's current price.

Orthofix Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orthofix Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orthofix Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orthofix Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Orthofix Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Orthofix Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Orthofix Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orthofix Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orthofix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Orthofix Stock Analysis

When running Orthofix Medical's price analysis, check to measure Orthofix Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orthofix Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Orthofix Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orthofix Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orthofix Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orthofix Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.