OFS Capital Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| OFS Stock | USD 4.95 0.16 3.13% |
OFS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of OFS Capital's share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling OFS Capital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.95 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1 | Wall Street Target Price 7 |
Using OFS Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OFS Capital Corp from the perspective of OFS Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OFS Capital using OFS Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OFS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OFS Capital's stock price.
OFS Capital Implied Volatility | 1.17 |
OFS Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OFS Capital Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OFS Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OFS Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when OFS Capital's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of OFS Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 4.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.39. OFS Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 5.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OFS Capital to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 OFS Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast OFS Capital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in OFS Capital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for OFS Capital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current OFS Capital's open interest, investors have to compare it to OFS Capital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of OFS Capital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in OFS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
OFS Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OFS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OFS using various technical indicators. When you analyze OFS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OFS Capital Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of OFS Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 4.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OFS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OFS Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OFS Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OFS Capital | OFS Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
OFS Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OFS Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OFS Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.30 and 8.61, respectively. We have considered OFS Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OFS Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OFS Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.213 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1704 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0338 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.3929 |
Predictive Modules for OFS Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OFS Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OFS Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OFS Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OFS Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OFS Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OFS Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OFS Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OFS Capital's historical news coverage. OFS Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.46 and 8.76, respectively. We have considered OFS Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OFS Capital is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OFS Capital Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
OFS Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OFS Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OFS Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OFS Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 3.65 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.95 | 5.11 | 0.00 |
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OFS Capital Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January OFS Capital Corp is traded for 4.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. OFS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on OFS Capital is about 7465.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.97. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.49. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OFS Capital Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OFS Capital to cross-verify your projections.OFS Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OFS Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OFS Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how OFS Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OFS Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HNNA | Hennessy Ad | 0.10 | 10 per month | 1.53 | 0.07 | 2.50 | (2.50) | 10.92 | |
| GECC | Great Elm Capital | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.89 | (4.72) | 9.09 | |
| PFX | Phenixfin | 0.33 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.45 | (2.82) | 10.53 | |
| STKE | Sol Strategies Common | (0.18) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 11.80 | (9.17) | 29.73 | |
| GRAN | Grande Group Limited | (0.06) | 4 per month | 6.75 | 0.01 | 13.37 | (12.76) | 55.88 | |
| IOR | Income Opportunity Realty | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.61 | (0.02) | 3.49 | (2.62) | 17.00 | |
| SSEA | Starry Sea Acquisition | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.50) | 0.30 | (0.10) | 0.70 | |
| CPBI | Central Plains Bancshares | 0.07 | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.05 | 1.68 | (1.19) | 6.35 | |
| FDSB | Fifth District Bancorp | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.29 | 0.14 | 1.09 | (1.05) | 3.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for OFS Capital
For every potential investor in OFS, whether a beginner or expert, OFS Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OFS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OFS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OFS Capital's price trends.OFS Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OFS Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OFS Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OFS Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OFS Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OFS Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OFS Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OFS Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OFS Capital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.56 |
OFS Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of OFS Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OFS Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ofs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Variance | 12.3 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OFS Capital
The number of cover stories for OFS Capital depends on current market conditions and OFS Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OFS Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OFS Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OFS Capital Short Properties
OFS Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when OFS Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OFS Capital Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OFS Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OFS Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 M |
Additional Tools for OFS Stock Analysis
When running OFS Capital's price analysis, check to measure OFS Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OFS Capital is operating at the current time. Most of OFS Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OFS Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OFS Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OFS Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.