Oriental Land Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| OLCLF Stock | USD 19.77 1.92 10.76% |
Oriental Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Oriental Land's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Oriental Land's pink sheet price is roughly 61. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 28th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Oriental, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Oriental Land hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oriental Land Co from the perspective of Oriental Land response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Oriental Land Co on the next trading day is expected to be 19.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.40. Oriental Land after-hype prediction price | USD 19.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Oriental |
Oriental Land Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oriental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oriental using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oriental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Oriental Land Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Oriental Land Co on the next trading day is expected to be 19.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oriental Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oriental Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Oriental Land Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Oriental Land | Oriental Land Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Oriental Land Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Oriental Land's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oriental Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.79 and 23.75, respectively. We have considered Oriental Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oriental Land pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oriental Land pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0508 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.261 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.4 |
Predictive Modules for Oriental Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oriental Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oriental Land After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oriental Land at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oriental Land or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Oriental Land, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oriental Land Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oriental Land's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oriental Land's historical news coverage. Oriental Land's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.79 and 23.75, respectively. We have considered Oriental Land's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oriental Land is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oriental Land is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oriental Land Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oriental Land is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oriental Land backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oriental Land, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 3.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.77 | 19.77 | 0.00 |
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Oriental Land Hype Timeline
Oriental Land is now traded for 19.77. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Oriental is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oriental Land is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.77. About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 127.36. Oriental Land last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The entity had 5:1 split on the 30th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oriental Land to cross-verify your projections.Oriental Land Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oriental Land's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oriental Land's future price movements. Getting to know how Oriental Land's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oriental Land may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NCBDY | BANDAI NAMCO Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.00 | (2.96) | 10.48 | |
| PPRUF | Kering SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.24 | (5.42) | 11.74 | |
| PPRUY | Kering SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.23 | (4.22) | 9.65 | |
| HNDAF | Honda Motor Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.85 | (0.02) | 7.72 | (6.04) | 20.53 | |
| CUKPF | Carnival plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | (1.43) | 25.59 | |
| JDCMF | Jd Com Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.41 | 0.01 | 8.18 | (14.71) | 34.12 | |
| DNZOY | Denso Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.94 | (2.95) | 9.00 | |
| ANPDY | ANTA Sports Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.00 | (2.57) | 7.71 | |
| DNZOF | DENSO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.09 | 0.01 | 9.14 | (8.50) | 28.68 | |
| DRPRY | Dr Ing hc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | (0.03) | 3.71 | (2.98) | 9.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Oriental Land
For every potential investor in Oriental, whether a beginner or expert, Oriental Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oriental Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oriental. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oriental Land's price trends.Oriental Land Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oriental Land pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oriental Land could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oriental Land by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Oriental Land Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oriental Land pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oriental Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oriental Land pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Oriental Land Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.11 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.96 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.92 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 61.87 |
Oriental Land Risk Indicators
The analysis of Oriental Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oriental Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oriental pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Variance | 14.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Oriental Land
The number of cover stories for Oriental Land depends on current market conditions and Oriental Land's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oriental Land is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oriental Land's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Oriental Land Short Properties
Oriental Land's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oriental Land's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oriental Land Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oriental Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oriental Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 327.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 234.9 B |
Other Information on Investing in Oriental Pink Sheet
Oriental Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oriental Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oriental with respect to the benefits of owning Oriental Land security.