OMV Aktiengesellscha OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

OMVJF Stock  USD 60.00  0.29  0.49%   
OMV OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of OMV Aktiengesellscha's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026 The value of RSI of OMV Aktiengesellscha's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 91

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
OMV Aktiengesellschaft stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of OMV Aktiengesellscha shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of OMV Aktiengesellscha's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of OMV Aktiengesellscha and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from OMV Aktiengesellscha's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with OMV Aktiengesellschaft, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of OMV Aktiengesellscha based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using OMV Aktiengesellscha hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OMV Aktiengesellschaft from the perspective of OMV Aktiengesellscha response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of OMV Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 56.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.86.

OMV Aktiengesellscha after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 60.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OMV Aktiengesellscha to cross-verify your projections.

OMV Aktiengesellscha Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine OMV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OMV using various technical indicators. When you analyze OMV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through OMV Aktiengesellscha price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

OMV Aktiengesellscha Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of OMV Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 56.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OMV OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OMV Aktiengesellscha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

OMV Aktiengesellscha OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest OMV Aktiengesellscha  OMV Aktiengesellscha Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

OMV Aktiengesellscha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting OMV Aktiengesellscha's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OMV Aktiengesellscha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.76 and 58.10, respectively. We have considered OMV Aktiengesellscha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
60.00
56.93
Expected Value
58.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OMV Aktiengesellscha otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OMV Aktiengesellscha otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1046
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.788
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0141
SAESum of the absolute errors48.8574
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as OMV Aktiengesellschaft historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for OMV Aktiengesellscha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OMV Aktiengesellschaft. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.8360.0061.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.1658.3366.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
52.8655.8758.88
Details

OMV Aktiengesellscha After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of OMV Aktiengesellscha at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OMV Aktiengesellscha or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of OMV Aktiengesellscha, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

OMV Aktiengesellscha Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting OMV Aktiengesellscha's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OMV Aktiengesellscha's historical news coverage. OMV Aktiengesellscha's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.83 and 61.17, respectively. We have considered OMV Aktiengesellscha's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
60.00
60.00
After-hype Price
61.17
Upside
OMV Aktiengesellscha is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OMV Aktiengesellschaft is based on 3 months time horizon.

OMV Aktiengesellscha OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as OMV Aktiengesellscha is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OMV Aktiengesellscha backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OMV Aktiengesellscha, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
1.17
 0.00  
  0.04 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
60.00
60.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

OMV Aktiengesellscha Hype Timeline

OMV Aktiengesellschaft is now traded for 60.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. OMV is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on OMV Aktiengesellscha is about 527.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.04. About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OMV Aktiengesellschaft recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.69. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2023. The firm had 10:1 split on the 11th of July 2005. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OMV Aktiengesellscha to cross-verify your projections.

OMV Aktiengesellscha Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to OMV Aktiengesellscha's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OMV Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. Getting to know how OMV Aktiengesellscha's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OMV Aktiengesellscha may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PTXLFPTT Exploration And 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23) 0.00 (3.70) 6.59 
TRMLFTourmaline Oil Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.44  0.04  2.74 (2.51) 5.96 
GLPEFGalp Energia SGPS 0.00 0 per month 3.47  0.02  7.31 (6.74) 25.02 
PEXNYPTT Exploration Production 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 14.80 (12.41) 50.05 
OGFGFOrigin Energy Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.00  0.00  12.93 
OGFGYOrigin Energy Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.27 (1.92) 9.14 
REPYFRepsol SA 0.74 4 per month 3.30  0.04  5.79 (7.92) 16.12 
TNRSFTenaris SA 0.74 12 per month 0.00  0.11  3.18 (1.47) 22.06 
REPYYRepsol SA 0.74 4 per month 1.76  0.06  3.12 (2.95) 10.15 
YZCHFYanzhou Coal Mining 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  0.00  0.00  24.12 

Other Forecasting Options for OMV Aktiengesellscha

For every potential investor in OMV, whether a beginner or expert, OMV Aktiengesellscha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OMV OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OMV. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OMV Aktiengesellscha's price trends.

OMV Aktiengesellscha Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OMV Aktiengesellscha otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OMV Aktiengesellscha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OMV Aktiengesellscha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

OMV Aktiengesellscha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OMV Aktiengesellscha otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OMV Aktiengesellscha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OMV Aktiengesellscha otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OMV Aktiengesellschaft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

OMV Aktiengesellscha Risk Indicators

The analysis of OMV Aktiengesellscha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OMV Aktiengesellscha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting omv otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for OMV Aktiengesellscha

The number of cover stories for OMV Aktiengesellscha depends on current market conditions and OMV Aktiengesellscha's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OMV Aktiengesellscha is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OMV Aktiengesellscha's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in OMV OTC Stock

OMV Aktiengesellscha financial ratios help investors to determine whether OMV OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OMV with respect to the benefits of owning OMV Aktiengesellscha security.