Ondas Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ONDS Stock  USD 13.69  0.32  2.28%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ondas Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 16.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.67. Ondas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ondas Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ondas Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ondas Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ondas Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ondas Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ondas Holdings' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.03)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.20)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.10)
Wall Street Target Price
11.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.04)
Using Ondas Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ondas Holdings from the perspective of Ondas Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ondas Holdings using Ondas Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ondas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ondas Holdings' stock price.

Ondas Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long Ondas Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ondas Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ondas Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
4.6462
Short Percent
0.2133
Short Ratio
0.74
Shares Short Prior Month
78.5 M
50 Day MA
8.2829

Ondas Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ondas Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ondas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ondas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ondas Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ondas Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ondas Holdings.

Ondas Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  1.72  
Ondas Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ondas Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ondas Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ondas Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ondas Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ondas Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 16.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.67.

Ondas Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ondas Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Ondas Stock please use our How to Invest in Ondas Holdings guide.Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 0.76 in 2026. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 1.29 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 84.4 M in 2026, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (62.6 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Ondas Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ondas Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ondas Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ondas Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ondas Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Ondas Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ondas Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ondas. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Ondas Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ondas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ondas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ondas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Ondas Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-12-31
Previous Quarter
67.6 M
Current Value
432.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
68.6 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Ondas Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ondas Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ondas Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ondas Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 16.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ondas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ondas Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ondas Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ondas HoldingsOndas Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ondas Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ondas Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ondas Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.33 and 25.64, respectively. We have considered Ondas Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.69
16.49
Expected Value
25.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ondas Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ondas Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.303
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.552
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0678
SAESum of the absolute errors33.6732
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ondas Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ondas Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ondas Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ondas Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ondas Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.8014.0223.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.299.5118.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
5.399.2813.17
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.4711.5012.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ondas Holdings

For every potential investor in Ondas, whether a beginner or expert, Ondas Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ondas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ondas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ondas Holdings' price trends.

Ondas Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ondas Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ondas Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ondas Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ondas Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ondas Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ondas Holdings' current price.

Ondas Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ondas Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ondas Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ondas Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ondas Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ondas Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ondas Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ondas Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ondas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Ondas Stock Analysis

When running Ondas Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Ondas Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ondas Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Ondas Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ondas Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ondas Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ondas Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.