OMDA Oil Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OOAG Stock | USD 0.0002 0.00 0.00% |
OMDA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of OMDA Oil's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026 the value of relative strength index of OMDA Oil's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using OMDA Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OMDA Oil and from the perspective of OMDA Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OMDA Oil and on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. OMDA Oil after-hype prediction price | USD 2.5E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OMDA Oil to cross-verify your projections. OMDA Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OMDA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OMDA using various technical indicators. When you analyze OMDA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OMDA Oil Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OMDA Oil and on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OMDA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OMDA Oil's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OMDA Oil Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OMDA Oil | OMDA Oil Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
OMDA Oil Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OMDA Oil's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OMDA Oil's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 0.0002, respectively. We have considered OMDA Oil's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OMDA Oil stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OMDA Oil stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for OMDA Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OMDA Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OMDA Oil After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OMDA Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OMDA Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OMDA Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OMDA Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OMDA Oil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OMDA Oil's historical news coverage. OMDA Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered OMDA Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OMDA Oil is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OMDA Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.
OMDA Oil Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OMDA Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OMDA Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OMDA Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0002 | 0.0003 | 25.00 |
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OMDA Oil Hype Timeline
OMDA Oil is now traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. OMDA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.5E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on OMDA Oil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Note, when we think about OMDA Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OMDA Oil to cross-verify your projections.OMDA Oil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OMDA Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OMDA Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how OMDA Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OMDA Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRSI | Trophy Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 18.18 | (25.00) | 77.27 | |
| ALME | Alamo Energy Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NWOL | North West Oil Group | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRZV | Fitvia Corp | (0.0002) | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 33.33 | 0.00 | 508.33 | |
| IGPG | Ignis Petroleum Group | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SNRS | Sunrise Consulting | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XDSL | mPhase Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SGLRF | Spyglass Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XLEFF | XXL Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,033 | |
| FRGY | Frontier Energy Corp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for OMDA Oil
For every potential investor in OMDA, whether a beginner or expert, OMDA Oil's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OMDA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OMDA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OMDA Oil's price trends.OMDA Oil Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OMDA Oil stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OMDA Oil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OMDA Oil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OMDA Oil Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OMDA Oil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OMDA Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OMDA Oil stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OMDA Oil and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.0E-4 |
OMDA Oil Risk Indicators
The analysis of OMDA Oil's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OMDA Oil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting omda stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.31 | |||
| Variance | 151.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OMDA Oil
The number of cover stories for OMDA Oil depends on current market conditions and OMDA Oil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OMDA Oil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OMDA Oil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OMDA Oil to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Can Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry sustain growth momentum? Does OMDA have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OMDA Oil. Anticipated expansion of OMDA directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating OMDA Oil demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
The market value of OMDA Oil is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OMDA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OMDA Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OMDA Oil's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because OMDA Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OMDA Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between OMDA Oil's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OMDA Oil should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, OMDA Oil's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.