OPC Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OPCE Stock | 9,655 225.00 2.28% |
OPC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast OPC Energy stock prices and determine the direction of OPC Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of OPC Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of OPC Energy's share price is above 70 at this time. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling OPC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using OPC Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OPC Energy from the perspective of OPC Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OPC Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 9,655 with a mean absolute deviation of 132.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,943. OPC Energy after-hype prediction price | ILA 9880.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OPC |
OPC Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OPC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OPC using various technical indicators. When you analyze OPC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OPC Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OPC Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 9,655 with a mean absolute deviation of 132.38, mean absolute percentage error of 31,551, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,943.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OPC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OPC Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OPC Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OPC Energy | OPC Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
OPC Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OPC Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OPC Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9,653 and 9,657, respectively. We have considered OPC Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OPC Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OPC Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 126.632 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -52.75 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 132.3833 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7943.0 |
Predictive Modules for OPC Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OPC Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OPC Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OPC Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OPC Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OPC Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OPC Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OPC Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OPC Energy's historical news coverage. OPC Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9,878 and 9,882, respectively. We have considered OPC Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OPC Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OPC Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
OPC Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OPC Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OPC Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OPC Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 2.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9,655 | 9,880 | 0.00 |
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OPC Energy Hype Timeline
OPC Energy is now traded for 9,655on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. OPC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on OPC Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9,655. About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of OPC Energy was now reported as 16.59. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of October 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OPC Energy to cross-verify your projections.OPC Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OPC Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OPC Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how OPC Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OPC Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KEN | Kenon Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | 0.23 | 3.96 | (3.57) | 9.48 | |
| ORA | Ormat Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | (0.04) | 2.71 | (2.63) | 7.56 | |
| ENLT | Enlight Renewable Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.31 | 6.93 | (2.76) | 18.15 | |
| ENRG | Energix Renewable Energies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | 0.19 | 4.64 | (3.57) | 14.12 | |
| RTEN | Rotem Energy Mineral | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.57 | (5.37) | 19.22 | |
| ELLO | Ellomay Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.09 | 0.06 | 5.86 | (3.68) | 15.30 | |
| ECNR | Econergy Renewable Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | 0.20 | 5.36 | (3.23) | 10.48 | |
| MSKE | Meshek Energy Renewable Energies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.82 | 0.17 | 6.22 | (4.72) | 15.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for OPC Energy
For every potential investor in OPC, whether a beginner or expert, OPC Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OPC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OPC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OPC Energy's price trends.OPC Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OPC Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OPC Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OPC Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OPC Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OPC Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OPC Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OPC Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OPC Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0396 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.57) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9703.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9687.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 392.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (160.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (225.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 78.32 |
OPC Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of OPC Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OPC Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting opc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OPC Energy
The number of cover stories for OPC Energy depends on current market conditions and OPC Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OPC Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OPC Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in OPC Stock
OPC Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether OPC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OPC with respect to the benefits of owning OPC Energy security.