Office Properties Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

OPI Stock  USD 1.72  0.07  4.24%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Office Properties Income on the next trading day is expected to be 1.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.62. Office Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Office Properties' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Office Properties' Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 25.5 M. The Office Properties' current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (5.2 M).

Office Properties Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Office Properties' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2007-12-31
Previous Quarter
34.4 M
Current Value
22.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
72 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
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Covid
A naive forecasting model for Office Properties is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Office Properties Income value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Office Properties Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Office Properties Income on the next trading day is expected to be 1.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Office Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Office Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Office Properties Stock Forecast Pattern

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Office Properties Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Office Properties' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Office Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.63, respectively. We have considered Office Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.72
1.84
Expected Value
8.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Office Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Office Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.0172
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0593
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0358
SAESum of the absolute errors3.616
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Office Properties Income. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Office Properties. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Office Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Office Properties Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.688.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.7310.55
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1010.0011.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.4-0.61-0.4
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Office Properties

For every potential investor in Office, whether a beginner or expert, Office Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Office Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Office. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Office Properties' price trends.

View Office Properties Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Office Properties Income Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Office Properties' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Office Properties' current price.

Office Properties Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Office Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Office Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Office Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Office Properties Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Office Properties Risk Indicators

The analysis of Office Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Office Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting office stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Office Properties Income is a strong investment it is important to analyze Office Properties' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Office Properties' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Office Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Office Properties to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Office Properties. If investors know Office will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Office Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.63)
Dividend Share
0.04
Earnings Share
(0.12)
Revenue Per Share
10.519
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
The market value of Office Properties Income is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Office that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Office Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Office Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Office Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Office Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Office Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Office Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Office Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.