Opt-Sciences Corp Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| OPST Stock | USD 22.75 2.75 13.75% |
Opt-Sciences Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of Opt-Sciences Corp's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Opt-Sciences Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Opt Sciences Corp from the perspective of Opt-Sciences Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Opt Sciences Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.75. Opt-Sciences Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 22.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Opt-Sciences |
Opt-Sciences Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Opt-Sciences price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Opt-Sciences using various technical indicators. When you analyze Opt-Sciences charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Opt-Sciences Corp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Opt Sciences Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Opt-Sciences Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Opt-Sciences Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Opt-Sciences Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Opt-Sciences Corp | Opt-Sciences Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Opt-Sciences Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Opt-Sciences Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Opt-Sciences Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.36 and 25.89, respectively. We have considered Opt-Sciences Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Opt-Sciences Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Opt-Sciences Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0458 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0458 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.002 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.75 |
Predictive Modules for Opt-Sciences Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Opt Sciences Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Opt-Sciences Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Opt-Sciences Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Opt-Sciences Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Opt-Sciences Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Opt-Sciences Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Opt-Sciences Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Opt-Sciences Corp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Opt-Sciences Corp's historical news coverage. Opt-Sciences Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.99 and 24.51, respectively. We have considered Opt-Sciences Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Opt-Sciences Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Opt Sciences Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Opt-Sciences Corp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Opt-Sciences Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Opt-Sciences Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Opt-Sciences Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.75 | 22.75 | 0.00 |
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Opt-Sciences Corp Hype Timeline
Opt Sciences Corp is now traded for 22.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Opt-Sciences is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Opt-Sciences Corp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.75. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.19. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Opt Sciences Corp last dividend was issued on the 21st of December 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Opt-Sciences Corp to cross-verify your projections.Opt-Sciences Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Opt-Sciences Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Opt-Sciences Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Opt-Sciences Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Opt-Sciences Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORBT | Orbit International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.47 | 0.05 | 8.49 | (6.48) | 27.63 | |
| TMGEF | Thermal Energy International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.00 | 0.09 | 10.00 | (7.86) | 26.14 | |
| LPSIF | Legend Power Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.65 | (8.33) | 23.11 | |
| DFEL | China TMK Battery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 104.10 | |
| TIKK | Tel Instrument Electronics Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 16.03 | 0.00 | 80.52 | |
| TOGI | TurnOnGreen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 11.24 | (11.18) | 36.74 | |
| NXTN | Next10 Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | 0.18 | 12.36 | (2.38) | 32.23 | |
| KLMR | KLM Royal Dutch | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLNFF | Solution Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AKRRF | Philly Shipyard ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Opt-Sciences Corp
For every potential investor in Opt-Sciences, whether a beginner or expert, Opt-Sciences Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Opt-Sciences Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Opt-Sciences. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Opt-Sciences Corp's price trends.Opt-Sciences Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Opt-Sciences Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Opt-Sciences Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Opt-Sciences Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Opt-Sciences Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Opt-Sciences Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Opt-Sciences Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Opt-Sciences Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Opt Sciences Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.14 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.38 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.75 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 100.0 |
Story Coverage note for Opt-Sciences Corp
The number of cover stories for Opt-Sciences Corp depends on current market conditions and Opt-Sciences Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Opt-Sciences Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Opt-Sciences Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Opt-Sciences Corp Short Properties
Opt-Sciences Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Opt-Sciences Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Opt Sciences Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Opt-Sciences Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Opt-Sciences Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 775.6 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.3 M |
Additional Tools for Opt-Sciences Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Opt-Sciences Corp's price analysis, check to measure Opt-Sciences Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Opt-Sciences Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Opt-Sciences Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Opt-Sciences Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Opt-Sciences Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Opt-Sciences Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.