Optimum Interactive Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

OPTL Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Optimum Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Optimum Interactive's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Optimum Interactive's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Optimum Interactive and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Optimum Interactive's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Optimum Interactive USA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Optimum Interactive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Optimum Interactive USA from the perspective of Optimum Interactive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Optimum Interactive USA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Optimum Interactive after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Optimum Interactive to cross-verify your projections.

Optimum Interactive Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Optimum price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Optimum using various technical indicators. When you analyze Optimum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Optimum Interactive works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Optimum Interactive Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Optimum Interactive USA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Optimum Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Optimum Interactive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Optimum Interactive Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Optimum Interactive  Optimum Interactive Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Optimum Interactive Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Optimum Interactive's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Optimum Interactive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Optimum Interactive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Optimum Interactive pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Optimum Interactive pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Optimum Interactive USA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Optimum Interactive USA trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Optimum Interactive observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Optimum Interactive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Optimum Interactive USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Optimum Interactive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Optimum Interactive After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Optimum Interactive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Optimum Interactive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Optimum Interactive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Optimum Interactive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Optimum Interactive's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Optimum Interactive's historical news coverage. Optimum Interactive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Optimum Interactive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Optimum Interactive is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Optimum Interactive USA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Optimum Interactive Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Optimum Interactive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Optimum Interactive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Optimum Interactive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Optimum Interactive Hype Timeline

Optimum Interactive USA is now traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Optimum is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Optimum Interactive is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Optimum Interactive USA had 30:1 split on the 4th of November 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Optimum Interactive to cross-verify your projections.

Optimum Interactive Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Optimum Interactive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Optimum Interactive's future price movements. Getting to know how Optimum Interactive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Optimum Interactive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ROIUFRoute1 Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  54.77 
OMQSOmniq Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 18.75 (15.38) 54.31 
BWLKFBoardwalktech Software Corp 0.00 0 per month 7.27  0.04  13.79 (16.67) 57.35 
WDLFSocial Life Network 0.00 0 per month 12.92  0.06  33.33 (25.00) 58.33 
TPPMTMPOS Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  99.84 
XYLBXy Labs 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0) 0.00 (4.76) 103.99 
XCLLXcelmobility 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LUXFFLuxxfolio Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 23.53 (19.05) 81.54 
SMKGSmart Card Marketing 0.00 0 per month 18.01  0.15  90.48 (47.50) 550.00 
MDTCMedia Technologies 0.00 0 per month 12.26  0.17  84.91 (31.71) 217.91 

Other Forecasting Options for Optimum Interactive

For every potential investor in Optimum, whether a beginner or expert, Optimum Interactive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Optimum Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Optimum. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Optimum Interactive's price trends.

Optimum Interactive Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Optimum Interactive pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Optimum Interactive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Optimum Interactive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Optimum Interactive Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Optimum Interactive pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Optimum Interactive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Optimum Interactive pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Optimum Interactive USA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Optimum Interactive

The number of cover stories for Optimum Interactive depends on current market conditions and Optimum Interactive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Optimum Interactive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Optimum Interactive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Optimum Pink Sheet

Optimum Interactive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Optimum Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Optimum with respect to the benefits of owning Optimum Interactive security.