NanoFlex Power Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

OPVS Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NanoFlex Power Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. NanoFlex Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of NanoFlex Power's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NanoFlex Power's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NanoFlex Power and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NanoFlex Power's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NanoFlex Power Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using NanoFlex Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NanoFlex Power Corp from the perspective of NanoFlex Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NanoFlex Power Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

NanoFlex Power after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NanoFlex Power to cross-verify your projections.

NanoFlex Power Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NanoFlex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NanoFlex using various technical indicators. When you analyze NanoFlex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for NanoFlex Power is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NanoFlex Power Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NanoFlex Power Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NanoFlex Power Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NanoFlex Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NanoFlex Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NanoFlex Power Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest NanoFlex PowerNanoFlex Power Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

NanoFlex Power Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NanoFlex Power's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NanoFlex Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered NanoFlex Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NanoFlex Power pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NanoFlex Power pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NanoFlex Power Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NanoFlex Power. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NanoFlex Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NanoFlex Power Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NanoFlex Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

NanoFlex Power After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of NanoFlex Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NanoFlex Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of NanoFlex Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

NanoFlex Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting NanoFlex Power's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NanoFlex Power's historical news coverage. NanoFlex Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered NanoFlex Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
NanoFlex Power is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NanoFlex Power Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

NanoFlex Power Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NanoFlex Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NanoFlex Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NanoFlex Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

NanoFlex Power Hype Timeline

NanoFlex Power Corp is now traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NanoFlex is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on NanoFlex Power is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.08. NanoFlex Power Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the 25th of November 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NanoFlex Power to cross-verify your projections.

NanoFlex Power Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to NanoFlex Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NanoFlex Power's future price movements. Getting to know how NanoFlex Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NanoFlex Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SOENSolar Enertech Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  150.00 
XDSLmPhase Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TRSITrophy Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 16.67 (25.00) 77.27 
SCNGStrattner Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WNWGWentworth Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  1,000.00 
ERINQErin Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CPYJCustom Designed Compressor 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PTOGPetrotech Oil Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SNRSSunrise Consulting 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GSLOGo Solar USA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  1,000.00 

Other Forecasting Options for NanoFlex Power

For every potential investor in NanoFlex, whether a beginner or expert, NanoFlex Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NanoFlex Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NanoFlex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NanoFlex Power's price trends.

NanoFlex Power Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NanoFlex Power pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NanoFlex Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NanoFlex Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NanoFlex Power Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NanoFlex Power pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NanoFlex Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NanoFlex Power pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify NanoFlex Power Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for NanoFlex Power

The number of cover stories for NanoFlex Power depends on current market conditions and NanoFlex Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NanoFlex Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NanoFlex Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for NanoFlex Pink Sheet Analysis

When running NanoFlex Power's price analysis, check to measure NanoFlex Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NanoFlex Power is operating at the current time. Most of NanoFlex Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NanoFlex Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NanoFlex Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NanoFlex Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.