Orad M Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ORAD Stock  ILS 145.80  2.30  1.55%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Orad M on the next trading day is expected to be 161.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 261.14. Orad Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Orad M stock prices and determine the direction of Orad M's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Orad M's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of RSI of Orad M's share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Orad M, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Orad M's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Orad M, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Orad M hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Orad M from the perspective of Orad M response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Orad M on the next trading day is expected to be 161.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 261.14.

Orad M after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 145.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orad M to cross-verify your projections.

Orad M Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Orad price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Orad using various technical indicators. When you analyze Orad charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Orad M polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Orad M as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Orad M Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Orad M on the next trading day is expected to be 161.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.28, mean absolute percentage error of 36.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 261.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orad Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orad M's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Orad M Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Orad MOrad M Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Orad M Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Orad M's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orad M's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 158.69 and 164.26, respectively. We have considered Orad M's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
145.80
158.69
Downside
161.47
Expected Value
164.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orad M stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orad M stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.7165
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.2809
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.032
SAESum of the absolute errors261.1376
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Orad M historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Orad M

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orad M. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
143.02145.80148.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
132.81135.59160.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
115.12143.95172.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Orad M

For every potential investor in Orad, whether a beginner or expert, Orad M's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orad Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orad. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orad M's price trends.

Orad M Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orad M stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orad M could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orad M by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Orad M Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Orad M's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Orad M's current price.

Orad M Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orad M stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orad M shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orad M stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Orad M entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Orad M Risk Indicators

The analysis of Orad M's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orad M's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orad stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Orad Stock

Orad M financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orad Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orad with respect to the benefits of owning Orad M security.